Match Analysis: Oviedo vs Espanyol – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-17
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Nuevo Carlos Tartiere
Game Overview
Espanyol, after a strong start, are winless in their last four, while Oviedo sit 17th with La Liga's least effective attack. Both teams are desperate for points—Oviedo to escape relegation, Espanyol to reignite their playoff push.
Key Factors to Consider
- Espanyol's early-season form has dipped, but they still hold a better record (3-2-3) than Oviedo (2-6). Oviedo averages just 0.5 goals per match, among the league's lowest, and has lost 4 of their last 5 overall and against the spread[1][3].
- Oviedo have not lost at home to Espanyol in 7 of the last 8 encounters. Espanyol's last away win at Oviedo was in 1995. Recent playoff history (2023/24) favored Espanyol in both legs (2-0 aggregate)[3].
- No major injury news reported. Lineup changes could shift odds, but current data assumes full squads.
- No significant external factors (weather, referees, crowd) reported. Odds suggest a tight match with no clear favorite.
- Oviedo are desperate for points to avoid relegation. Espanyol need to reverse a slump to stay in the promotion race. Both teams highly motivated, but Oviedo's poor form tempers home advantage.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Espanyol: 162, Oviedo: 207, Draw: 206 | Draw | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Spread | Espanyol: 0 -128, Oviedo: 0 108 | Oviedo 0 (pick) | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
Over/under | Over: 2 -104, Under: 2 -116 | Under 2 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Draw 13% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2 8% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Draw at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Low-scoring, tense match with Oviedo's home record keeping it close, but Espanyol's slightly superior form and quality give them a marginal edge.
Predicted Score: 0-0