Match Analysis: AS Monaco vs Valencia Basket – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-17
- Time: 5:30 PM UTC
- Location: Salle Gaston Medecin
Game Overview
AS Monaco hosts Valencia Basket in a tightly contested EuroLeague matchup. Both teams have similar recent results and a 2-2 head-to-head record, indicating a balanced contest with a slight defensive tilt.
Key Factors to Consider
- Monaco has been slightly inconsistent with a recent loss but strong home performance; Valencia struggles away with a recent home loss, scoring inconsistently in offense.
- The last 4 H2H games are tied 2-2, with an average score around 79-80 points per team, indicating a defensive and closely matched rivalry.
- No significant injuries reported for either side affecting rotation or starting lineup.
- Game played at Monacoβs home arena, a venue where Monaco has shown better form and fan support.
- Both teams aim to climb early EuroLeague standings; Monaco has marginal edge playing at home and looking to bounce back from recent defeat.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: -305, away: 230 | AS Monaco | β β β β β 75% |
Spread | home: -109, away: -114 | AS Monaco -7 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | over: -114, under: -109 | Under 178.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | AS Monaco -2% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 178.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 178.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
AS Monaco to win on the moneyline and cover the -7 spread; total points expected to finish under 178.5
Predicted Score: 80-73