Match Analysis: Santos vs Corinthians – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-15
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: Estádio Urbano Caldeira, Santos
Game Overview
Santos (16th, 28pts) hosts Corinthians (12th, 33pts) in a crucial Serie A clash. Both teams are out of title contention but fighting to avoid relegation danger. Recent form has been inconsistent for both sides, with Corinthians slightly above Santos in the table and in recent H2H results.
Key Factors to Consider
- Corinthians have a slightly better points tally and marginally superior recent results, but both teams have struggled for consistency this season. Santos' home form is a concern, while Corinthians have been inconsistent away.
- Corinthians won the last meeting 1-0 on May 18, 2025. Over the last several seasons, Corinthians have had the upper hand, especially in Serie A encounters.
- No detailed injury news available in the search results. Both teams have had absences throughout the season, but no major updates for this match.
- The match is a local derby (the 'Clássico Alvinegro'), which adds intensity and unpredictability. The home crowd could lift Santos, but both teams are in a tense phase of the season, which may lead to cautious play.
- Both teams urgently need points to avoid slipping further into the relegation zone. Santos, especially at home, will be desperate for a result, while Corinthians are aiming to consolidate a mid-table position.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Corinthians +275 / Santos +117 / Draw +195 | Corinthians win | ★★☆☆☆ 41% |
Spread | Corinthians +25 (-102) / Santos -0.25 (-118) | Corinthians +0.25 (-102) | ★★★☆☆ 54% |
Over/under | Over 2 (-105) / Under 2 (-115) | Under 2 (-115) | ★★★☆☆ 61% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Corinthians 54% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2 14% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Corinthians at 54% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Tight, low-scoring contest with a slight edge to Corinthians due to better table position, H2H, and psychological advantage.
Predicted Score: Santos 0-0 Corinthians