Match Analysis: Sport Recife vs Ceará – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-15
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: Estadio Ilha do Retiro, Recife, Brazil
Game Overview
Brazil Campeonato Serie A match between struggling home side Sport Recife and mid-table Ceará. Sport Recife are bottom of the table with poor recent form and a negative goal difference, while Ceará are positioned 10th with a positive goal difference. Historical clashes and the home advantage should be considered.
Key Factors to Consider
- Sport Recife have a poor season, with only 2 wins in 26 matches, a heavy negative goal difference (-21), and poor recent form. Ceará have a stronger overall performance with 9 wins, a positive goal difference (+2), and better consistency.
- Recent head-to-heads favor Ceará slightly. Draw outcomes are common, with the last meetings often ending in stalemates or narrow wins.
- No critical injury information available suggesting major absences for either side, implying both teams are near full strength.
- Sport Recife benefit from home advantage at Estadio Ilha do Retiro but face pressure due to poor standing. Weather or travel issues are not indicated.
- Sport Recife face relegation threat, motivating them to fight hard at home. Ceará are mid-table with less pressure but may aim for a stable finish.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: +139, away: +215, draw: +200 | Draw | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Spread | home: +105, away: -125 | Sport Recife -0.25 | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Over/under | over: -122, under: +102 | Under 2 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Draw 29% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2 9% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Draw at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Draw on Moneyline, Sport Recife -0.25 on Spread, Under 2 on Over/Under
Predicted Score: 1-1