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Juan Diaz vs. Won Il Kwon Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Juan Diaz vs Won Il Kwon – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-15
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Dana White's Contender Series, Bantamweight division (Venue not specified)

Game Overview

The Bantamweight bout between Juan Diaz and Won Il Kwon at Dana White's Contender Series features two rising fighters with contrasting styles. Both athletes are closely matched in skill and experience, making this a tightly contested matchup with no clear dominant favorite.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Juan Diaz has shown consistent striking and solid grappling defense in recent fights, while Won Il Kwon has demonstrated aggressive pace and effective takedown capabilities. Recent form is balanced but Diaz carries slightly more momentum with fewer recent losses.
  • No prior head-to-head encounter between Diaz and Kwon exists, making tactical adjustments during the fight a key factor.
  • Neither fighter reported any significant injuries heading into this bout, indicating both are likely at peak physical condition.
  • The fight being part of Dana White's Contender Series adds motivation for both fighters to impress for a UFC contract, increasing urgency and intensity.
  • High motivation on both sides; Diaz aims to solidify his path to UFC, while Kwon seeks to capitalize on his aggressive style to secure a contract. This motivation elevates competitive intensity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Juan Diaz: -120, Won Il Kwon: -102 Juan Diaz ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Juan Diaz -1.5 rounds: +150, Won Il Kwon +1.5 rounds: -180 Won Il Kwon +1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Juan Diaz -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Juan Diaz at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Juan Diaz to win

Predicted Score: Juan Diaz wins by decision or late stoppage in round 3


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Juan Diaz vs. Won Il Kwon Prediction

Match Analysis: Juan Diaz vs Won Il Kwon – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-10-15 Time: 12:00 AM UTC Location: Dana White's Contender Series, Bantamweight division (Venue not specified) Game Overview The Bantamweight bout between Juan Diaz and Won Il Kwon at Dana White's Contender Series features two rising fighters with contrasting styles. Both athletes are […]

Juan Diaz MMA/Boxing October 15, 2025 Won Il Kwon

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Mario Mingaj vs. Wes Schultz Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Mario Mingaj vs Wes Schultz – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-15
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Dana White's Contender Series

Game Overview

Mario Mingaj faces Wes Schultz in a competitive matchup at Dana White's Contender Series. Schultz enters as the betting favorite with more established experience and stronger recent form, while Mingaj is viewed as a spirited underdog with notable finishing skills.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Wes Schultz has demonstrated consistent performances with multiple stoppage wins in recent fights, signaling strong striking and grappling. Mario Mingaj, although less experienced, has shown resilience and a good submission game but has less high-profile fight experience.
  • No prior head-to-head encounters found between Mingaj and Schultz, leaving this fight open tactically.
  • No recent injuries reported for either fighter, both coming in healthy and fully prepared.
  • The fight takes place on Dana White's Contender Series, increasing motivation for both fighters to impress and secure a UFC contract. Schultz has prior Contender experience, potentially giving him an edge in mental preparedness.
  • Both fighters highly motivated to win, though Schultz's position as a slight favorite and previous success on the Contender platform may add psychological advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Mario Mingaj: +165, Wes Schultz: -190 Wes Schultz ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Mario Mingaj +1.5 rounds: +120, Wes Schultz -1.5 rounds: -140 Wes Schultz -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110 Over 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Wes Schultz -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Wes Schultz at -11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Wes Schultz to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: Wes Schultz wins by decision after 3 rounds


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Marwan Rahiki vs. Ananias Mulumba Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Marwan Rahiki vs Ananias Mulumba – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-15
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Dana White's Contender Series – Featherweight division

Game Overview

This featherweight bout between Marwan Rahiki and Ananias Mulumba showcases a duel of contrasting styles: Rahiki’s refined, technical striking and composure versus Mulumba’s physical power, volume, and relentless pressure. Both fighters have strong finishing abilities, with Rahiki undefeated at 6-0 and Mulumba boasting more experience at 9-2. The fight is expected to feature fast-paced striking exchanges, with Mulumba likely to attempt to close distance and impose his physicality as the fight progresses.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Rahiki is unbeaten (6-0), showing solid striking and versatility with diverse attacks including kicks and elbows. Mulumba (9-2) has strong ground and pound, athleticism, and high output striking but sometimes over-swing. Rahiki’s recent form is 5-0; Mulumba is 4-1 in last five fights.
  • No previous matchup between Rahiki and Mulumba exists, so no direct H2H data is available.
  • No reported injuries to either fighter ahead of this bout.
  • Fight part of Dana White’s Contender Series, increasing motivation for both fighters to impress. Mulumba faces pressure to close the gap on Rahiki’s undefeated record. Fight location is neutral — details suggest the event is in the U.S.
  • Both fighters highly motivated to secure a contract and establish themselves. Rahiki’s undefeated status is at stake, while Mulumba aims to prove he can dominate with his power and volume.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -220, away: 185 Ananias Mulumba ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Mulumba +1.5: 140, Rahiki -1.5: -160 Mulumba +1.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: 110, Under 2.5 rounds: -130 Over 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Marwan Rahiki 65%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Marwan Rahiki at 65% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ananias Mulumba to win via decision

Predicted Score: Ananias Mulumba wins via unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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Michael Oliveira vs. Victor Valenzuela Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Michael Oliveira vs Victor Valenzuela – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-15
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Dana White's Contender Series

Game Overview

The welterweight fight between Michael Oliveira and Victor Valenzuela pits two rising contenders in Dana White's Contender Series. Oliveira enters as the favorite with a strong grappling and striking balance, while Valenzuela is known for his aggressive striking and resilience.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Oliveira has shown more consistency and recent success in his last five bouts with a 4-1 record, displaying effective takedown defense and controlled striking. Valenzuela's form has been less consistent, with struggles in maintaining control in later rounds.
  • No recorded previous matchups between Oliveira and Valenzuela, making this the first direct competition between them.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout, both appear to be at full health based on recent fight camps.
  • Fighting on a big stage like Dana White’s Contender Series enhances motivation for both fighters, but Oliveira’s camp has more experience preparing for high-pressure scenarios.
  • Oliveira has significant motivation to secure a contract and elevate his career, showing focus and tactical discipline. Valenzuela seeks to prove he can overcome early setbacks and methods, but may be prone to lapses under pressure.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Michael Oliveira: -205, Victor Valenzuela: +175 Michael Oliveira ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Michael Oliveira -1.5: -130, Victor Valenzuela +1.5: +110 Michael Oliveira -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110 Over 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Michael Oliveira -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Michael Oliveira at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Michael Oliveira to win by decision

Predicted Score: Michael Oliveira wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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Freddy Vidal vs. Levi Rodrigues Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Freddy Vidal vs Levi Rodrigues – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-15
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States

Game Overview

Heavyweight main card bout at Dana White's Contender Series between Freddy Vidal and Levi Rodrigues, both debuting in this event.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both fighters have limited professional records with no known official fight history; Vidal is known for aggressive striking while Rodrigues has a strong grappling base.
  • No previous head-to-head matchups between Vidal and Rodrigues.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the fight.
  • Venue is UFC Apex in Vegas, neutral ground. Both fighters motivated as prospects aiming to impress for UFC contracts.
  • High motivation for both, as this is a pivotal opportunity on Dana White's Contender Series to secure a UFC contract.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Freddy Vidal: +135, Levi Rodrigues: -155 Levi Rodrigues ★★★☆☆ 67%
Spread -1.5 rounds Levi Rodrigues -120 Levi Rodrigues by more than 1.5 rounds (dominant grappling performance likely to control late rounds) ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Under 2.5 rounds -110 Under 2.5 rounds (fight likely to end inside 3 rounds due to high finishing intent from both fighters) ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Levi Rodrigues -13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Levi Rodrigues at -13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Levi Rodrigues to win on the moneyline by leverage of grappling control over Vidal's striking.

Predicted Score: Levi Rodrigues wins by 2nd round submission


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Azamat Nuftillaev vs. Jovan Leka Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Azamat Nuftillaev vs Jovan Leka – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-15
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Dana White's Contender Series Event

Game Overview

Heavyweight MMA contest between Azamat Nuftillaev and Jovan Leka, featuring two well-rounded fighters: Nuftillaev with balanced striking and grappling and Leka known for agility and endurance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Nuftillaev displays a more versatile skill set with both striking and grappling proficiency, while Leka's strength lies in footwork and high stamina. Recent form shows Nuftillaev maintaining control in fights through tactical takedowns; Leka relies on late-round pressure.
  • No recorded previous head-to-head matchup between these fighters, increasing emphasis on style matchup and current form.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter going into the fight, leading to an evenly matched physical condition.
  • Fight is part of Dana White's Contender Series, increasing motivation for both fighters to perform well to advance career opportunities.
  • High for both competitors due to the stakes of the Contender Series. Nuftillaev might have slight edge in motivation as the more established grappler aiming to showcase versatility.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -123 for Nuftillaev, +103 for Leka Azamat Nuftillaev ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Azamat Nuftillaev -1.5 rounds EV approx -110, Jovan Leka +1.5 rounds EV approx -110 Azamat Nuftillaev -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds -115, Under 2.5 rounds -105 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Azamat Nuftillaev 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Azamat Nuftillaev at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Azamat Nuftillaev to win by moneyline

Predicted Score: Nuftillaev wins by TKO or submission in Round 2


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Charles Oliveira vs. Mateusz Gamrot Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Charles Oliveira vs Mateusz Gamrot – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-12
  • Time: 1:45 AM UTC
  • Location: Farmasi Arena, Rio De Janeiro, Brazil

Game Overview

Lightweight UFC main event between Charles Oliveira, a submission specialist with a longer reach and finishing rate, and Mateusz Gamrot, a wrestler with a strong takedown average but less finishing power.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Oliveira has an 89% finishing rate and excels in submissions, while Gamrot holds a strong wrestling base with higher takedown averages. Oliveira has been less consistent recently but possesses high fight IQ and finishing ability.
  • No recorded previous matchups between Oliveira and Gamrot; styles suggest Oliveira's Jiu-Jitsu could counter Gamrot's wrestling.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout.
  • Fight taking place in Brazil, Oliveira's home country, which may give him psychological and crowd advantage.
  • Oliveira seeking to reestablish himself as a top lightweight contender; Gamrot eager to prove himself on a big stage and in prime age.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Charles Oliveira: -112, Mateusz Gamrot: -108 Charles Oliveira ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Charles Oliveira -5.5: 120, Mateusz Gamrot +5.5: -165 Mateusz Gamrot +5.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 3.5: 105, Under 3.5: -135 Under 3.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Charles Oliveira 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.5 1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Charles Oliveira at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Charles Oliveira to win by moneyline

Predicted Score: Charles Oliveira wins by submission in Round 3


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Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Montel Jackson Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Deiveson Figueiredo vs Montel Jackson – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-11
  • Time: 1:15 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Rio, Brazil

Game Overview

Deiveson Figueiredo and Montel Jackson face off in a bantamweight bout at UFC Rio. Jackson enters as the betting favorite based on recent superior form and statistical advantages. Figueiredo, although known for finishing ability, is viewed as the underdog due to Jackson’s steady performances and favorable recent outcomes.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Montel Jackson has displayed consistent form with unanimous decision wins and good durability. Figueiredo has power and finishing capability but has shown vulnerability recently and fewer finishes in his last fights.
  • No previous fights between Figueiredo and Jackson; thus, no direct historical comparison exists, increasing the importance of recent form and style matchups.
  • No reported injuries affecting either fighter leading into the bout.
  • The fight takes place in Brazil, potentially favoring Figueiredo with home crowd advantage, but Jackson’s mental readiness and current momentum may offset this.
  • Jackson appears highly motivated to solidify his rising status in the bantamweight division, whereas Figueiredo aims to return to winning form after setbacks, which could impact strategy and risk-taking.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Deiveson Figueiredo: +235, Montel Jackson: -290 Montel Jackson ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Deiveson Figueiredo +3.5: -110, Montel Jackson -3.5: -120 Montel Jackson -3.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5: -195, Under 2.5: +150 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Montel Jackson -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 50%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 50% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 33.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Montel Jackson to win via unanimous decision

Predicted Score: Montel Jackson wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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Vicente Luque vs. Joel Alvarez Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Vicente Luque vs Joel Alvarez – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-11
  • Time: 12:45 AM UTC
  • Location: Farmasi Arena, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Game Overview

This welterweight bout pits Vicente Luque, a seasoned 33-year-old fighter with a record of 23-11-1, against Joel Alvarez, a 32-year-old with an impressive 22-3-0 record but stepping up in weight class. Alvarez is heavily favored by bookmakers, and the fight showcases a clash of two orthodox strikers with slightly different styles and physical attributes.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Alvarez has a winning record of 22-3 and has demonstrated strong defensive and striking skills, absorbing fewer significant strikes per minute than Luque. Luque possesses a higher volume striking rate (5.02 per minute) but also absorbs more strikes (5.25 per minute), revealing a more aggressive but riskier style.
  • There is no prior head-to-head matchup between Vicente Luque and Joel Alvarez.
  • Joel Alvarez suffered a hand injury earlier in the year but there are no current injury reports affecting either fighter ahead of this fight.
  • The fight takes place in Brazil, Luque's home country, potentially giving him home crowd support. However, Alvarez's physical advantages in height (6'3" vs. 5'11") and reach (77" vs. 75") may neutralize this.
  • Alvarez is highly motivated to maintain his rising trajectory in the UFC with an 81.7% implied win probability and the pressure of being heavy favorite. Luque seeks to redeem recent setbacks such as a submission loss in June, adding motivation for an upset.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Joel Alvarez -550 / Vicente Luque +410 Joel Alvarez ★★★★☆ 77%
Spread Joel Alvarez -7.5 (-280) / Vicente Luque +7.5 (200) Joel Alvarez -7.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 1.5 (+110) / Under 1.5 (-140) Under 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Joel Alvarez -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Joel Alvarez to win on moneyline

Predicted Score: Joel Alvarez wins by TKO/KO in Round 2


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Jhonata Diniz vs. Mario Pinto Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Jhonata Diniz vs Mario Pinto – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-11
  • Time: 12:15 AM UTC
  • Location: Farmasi Arena, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Game Overview

Heavyweight MMA bout between Jhonata Diniz (9-1) and Mario Pinto (10-0) featuring two orthodox fighters of similar height and reach with contrasting striking accuracy and defense.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Diniz has a strong 9-1 record with solid striking volume and defensive efficiency, landing 4.58 significant strikes per minute at 56% accuracy and defending 59% of incoming strikes. Pinto is undefeated at 10-0 with lower volume (3.67 strikes per minute) but much higher accuracy (71%), though he allows a higher rate of significant strikes against him (5.29 per minute) and a lower defensive rate of 51%. Pinto’s youth and perfect record indicate momentum, but Diniz’s defensive skill and experience suggest a tougher challenge than Pinto has faced to date.
  • No direct history between Diniz and Pinto, making this a stylistic matchup based on striking efficiency and defense.
  • No reported injuries or recent layoffs for either fighter, suggesting both are entering in peak condition.
  • Fight at home for Diniz in Brazil could boost motivation and crowd energy, potentially influencing close moments. Both fighters have Orthodox stance and equal reach (79 inches).
  • Diniz at 34 aiming to solidify status with a big win over an undefeated rising star. Pinto at 27 motivated to maintain perfect record and prove dominance at heavyweight.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Jhonata Diniz: -135, Mario Pinto: +114 Jhonata Diniz ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Jhonata Diniz -3.5: +110, Mario Pinto +3.5: -150 Jhonata Diniz -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 1.5: -250, Under 1.5: +190 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jhonata Diniz 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 103%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 103% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 54.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Jhonata Diniz to win. Spread: Jhonata Diniz -3.5. Over/Under: Under 1.5 rounds.

Predicted Score: Jhonata Diniz wins by KO/TKO in round 2


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