Match Analysis: KK Crvena zvezda vs Žalgiris – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-14
- Time: 6:00 PM UTC
- Location: Beogradska Arena, Belgrade, Serbia
Game Overview
KK Crvena zvezda hosts Žalgiris in a EuroLeague clash. Žalgiris has shown stronger recent form with 9 wins in their last 10 matches compared to Crvena zvezda's 3 wins. Historically, Žalgiris holds a dominant edge in head-to-head results. The match is notable for its high intensity and defensive setups on both sides.
Key Factors to Consider
- Žalgiris has a 67% win probability recently and has been consistent in EuroLeague play, while Crvena zvezda has struggled with only 3 wins in the last 10 games. Crvena zvezda is playing at home but lacks momentum after several losses.
- Žalgiris leads recent head-to-head meetings with about 72% success over Crvena zvezda in their last 18 encounters, including competitive EuroLeague games where margins were close but favored Žalgiris.
- No major reported injuries for either team prior to the match; both squads expected to field close to full strength.
- Playing at Beogradska Arena with a 25,000-seat capacity grants Crvena zvezda home advantage; however, Žalgiris' travel and schedule appear well managed with no additional fatigue concerns.
- Žalgiris is motivated to continue EuroLeague dominance and prove consistency away from home. Crvena zvezda is under pressure to perform after recent losses, but motivation may be tempered by form and H2H trends.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | +155 | Away Win – Žalgiris | ★★★★☆ 74% |
Spread | -6.5 (Crvena zvezda) | Away – Žalgiris +6.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Over/under | Over 165.5 (-110) | Over 165.5 points | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Away 71% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Away at 71% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Betting on Žalgiris Kaunas moneyline presents the highest expected value given their superior form and head-to-head record. Expect a moderately close game but with Žalgiris edging out a win on the road.
Predicted Score: Žalgiris 82 – 76 Crvena zvezda