Match Analysis: Lehigh Valley Phantoms vs W-B/Scranton Penguins – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-12
- Time: 7:05 PM UTC
- Location: Lehigh Valley Phantoms Home Arena
Game Overview
Lehigh Valley Phantoms host the Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins in an American Hockey League clash marked by intense rivalry and close historical contests, with recent matches showing balanced form but away dominance by the Penguins.
Key Factors to Consider
- Both teams display similar recent form with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 games. However, Penguins have been strong on the road, covering +1.5 handicap in 6 of their last 7 away matches against the Phantoms.
- In 116 matches, Penguins lead with 61 away wins to Phantomsβ 52 at home. Recent average goals per match hover around 5.5, with the last meeting ending 3-2 in favor of the Phantoms at their home ice.
- No significant injuries reported that could heavily impact either teamβs performance in this matchup.
- No notable external factors such as travel fatigue or weather issues are expected to influence the game, with standard conditions and venue advantage for Lehigh Valley.
- Penguins demonstrate motivation to extend their strong away record against the Phantoms, while Lehigh Valley seeks to defend home turf after a narrow win in their last encounter.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Lehigh Valley Phantoms 125, W-B/Scranton Penguins -165 | W-B/Scranton Penguins | β β β β β 78% |
Spread | Lehigh Valley Phantoms +1.5 -210, W-B/Scranton Penguins -1.5 160 | W-B/Scranton Penguins -1.5 | β β β β β 72% |
Over/under | Over 5.5 -110, Under 5.5 -120 | Under 5.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | W-B/Scranton Penguins -7% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 5.5 12% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 5.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
W-B/Scranton Penguins to win straight up (moneyline) and cover the -1.5 goal spread; the match expected to stay under 5.5 total goals.
Predicted Score: Lehigh Valley Phantoms 2 – W-B/Scranton Penguins 4