Match Analysis: Idaho Vandals vs CSU Northridge Matadors – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-26
- Time: 2:00 AM UTC
- Location: Idaho Central Arena, Moscow, ID
Game Overview
The Idaho Vandals and CSU Northridge Matadors enter this non-conference NCAAB matchup both with a 3-2 record. The game is set for Wednesday, November 26, 2025, with tipoff at 9 p.m. ET at Idaho Central Arena. Both teams have shown balanced scoring in recent games, with Idaho averaging 83.0 points and holding opponents to 70.2 points, while Northridge scores around 80.6 points but allows about 73.6 points. The teams last met in November 2023, with Northridge narrowly winning 76-73. Key players include Jackson Rasmussen for Idaho and Josh O'Garro for Northridge, who have led scoring in recent games.
Key Factors to Consider
- Idaho is outscoring opponents by an average of 12.8 points per game and has a scoring differential of +64 overall. The Vandals score 83.0 points per game and allow 70.2 points. Northridge averages 80.6 points and allows 73.6 points per game. Both teams are closely matched in efficiency and recent performance.
- The only recent meeting was in November 2023, with CSU Northridge edging Idaho 76-73. This indicates a competitive history with narrow margins.
- No specific injury reports are currently available for either team, indicating both squads are likely near full strength.
- Idaho has home-court advantage at Idaho Central Arena, which can influence performance. Both teams have played competitive schedules and appear evenly matched in talent and form.
- Both teams carry identical records (3-2) and will be motivated to gain momentum early in the season. The Vandals aim to defend home turf, while Northridge seeks to avenge the close prior loss.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | CSU Northridge Matadors: -115, Idaho Vandals: -105 | Idaho Vandals Moneyline | β β β ββ 58% |
| Spread | CSU Northridge Matadors -1.5: +100, Idaho Vandals +1.5: -120 | Idaho Vandals +1.5 | β β β ββ 62% |
| Over/under | Over 160.5: -105, Under 160.5: -115 | Under 160.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Idaho Vandals 3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 160.5 12% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 160.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Idaho Vandals are slightly favored due to home-court advantage and marginally better defensive statistics, but the game is expected to be closely contested. A small margin win for Idaho is the most probable outcome.
Predicted Score: Idaho Vandals 82 – 78 CSU Northridge Matadors