Match Analysis: Tennessee Volunteers vs Kansas Jayhawks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-27
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: MGM Grand Garden Arena, Las Vegas, NV
Game Overview
The Tennessee Volunteers face the Kansas Jayhawks in the Players Era Festival Championship at MGM Grand Garden Arena. Both teams feature strong offensive capabilities and solid defensive records, with Tennessee averaging 87.3 points per game and Kansas averaging 88.2 points. The game is expected to be a competitive encounter with a moderately high combined scoring total.
Key Factors to Consider
- Kansas Jayhawks are shooting 48.1% overall and 32.7% from three-point range, averaging 88.2 points per game while allowing 73.5 points. Their defense limits opponents to 24.1% shooting from deep, and they secure 42.7 rebounds per game. Tennessee Volunteers shoot 49.9% overall, averaging 87.3 points and allowing 73.7 points per game, with defensive discipline at 36% opponent shooting. Tennessee has had recent success against non-AP-ranked opponents, but Kansas has excelled in daytime games against non-conference foes.
- Kansas has shown strength in day games against non-conference opponents, winning 7 of last 8, while Tennessee has a strong record against non-AP-ranked teams and has won multiple recent first halves against such teams. Kansas won the first half in 9 of 10 recent day games in this category, while Tennessee has faced challenges in day games against Big 12 teams.
- No specific injury reports are available for either team in the current data.
- The game will be played at a neutral venue in Las Vegas during the Players Era Festival. Daytime game dynamics and travel conditions may affect team performance, favoring teams with strong daytime game histories such as Kansas.
- Both teams are motivated, contesting a championship title in a high-profile tournament setting. Kansasβs recent strong daytime performance against non-conference foes adds motivational advantage, while Tennesseeβs solid play against ranked opponents and momentum in season record provide additional incentive.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Tennessee Volunteers: -115, Kansas Jayhawks: -105 | Kansas Jayhawks | β β β ββ 62% |
| Spread | Kansas Jayhawks: +3.5 -105, Tennessee Volunteers: -3.5 -115 | Kansas Jayhawks +3.5 | β β β ββ 58% |
| Over/under | Over 139.5: -110, Under 139.5: -110 | Over 139.5 | β β β ββ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 139.5 5% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 139.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Kansas Jayhawks to win narrowly, covering the spread with a total score slightly over the set line.
Predicted Score: Kansas Jayhawks 72 – Tennessee Volunteers 68