Match Analysis: Boston Celtics vs Detroit Pistons – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-26
- Time: 10:10 PM UTC
- Location: TD Garden
Game Overview
The Boston Celtics and Detroit Pistons face off at TD Garden with a rich rivalry history. Celtics lead all-time head-to-head with 256 wins versus 142 for the Pistons in 398 regular season games. Recently, the Pistons won the last two meetings but the Celtics have generally dominated home encounters and hold a stronger overall record. Both teams show competitive offensive outputs with the Pistons averaging slightly higher points per game this season but Celtics maintaining solid defense.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Celtics are 6-4 in their last 10 games, scoring around 105.2 PPG and allowing 105.2 PPG. The Pistons have been strong on the road, with a 9-1 record in their last 10 away games, averaging 115.3 PPG and conceding 108.9 PPG. Bostonβs offense is efficient with multiple scoring options, while Detroitβs recent streak on the road boosts confidence.
- Historically, Celtics hold a significant advantage in all-time meetings (256-142). The last 10 encounters show Celtics with 6 wins and Pistons 4. Pistons won the last two at home with scores 117-97 and 119-113. Celtics won the last home meeting 123-99. Boston performs better at TD Garden, winning 7 of the last 10 matchups there.
- No specific injury information is available from the provided data, but current rosters appear near full strength without major absences noted in recent reports.
- The game is played at Bostonβs home court, TD Garden, which typically offers a strong home-court advantage. The Pistons are on a strong road winning streak which could affect momentum. Both teams are motivated in a competitive Eastern Conference context.
- Both teams have strong incentives: Celtics aim to maintain their home dominance and improve playoff positioning; Pistons look to extend their impressive road form and gain momentum against a higher-ranked rival.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Boston Celtics: +124, Detroit Pistons: -148 | Detroit Pistons win | β β β ββ 62% |
| Spread | Boston Celtics: 2.5 -110, Detroit Pistons: -2.5 -110 | Detroit Pistons -2.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 230.5: -112, Under 230.5: -108 | Over 230.5 points | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Detroit Pistons -4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 230.5 23% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 230.5 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Boston Celtics are favored to win due to home advantage, historical dominance at TD Garden, and balanced team performance. Despite the Pistons' strong recent road form, Celticsβ depth and motivation to respond to recent losses suggest a close but controlled victory for Boston.
Predicted Score: Detroit Pistons 116 – 113 Boston Celtics