Match Analysis: Manhattan Jaspers vs Wagner Seahawks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-26
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: Not explicitly stated; likely Manhattan University home venue for the Manhattan Jaspers
Game Overview
The Manhattan Jaspers will face the Wagner Seahawks in an NCAA men's basketball matchup. Manhattan enters with a slightly better recent form, including a notable previous victory over Wagner with a score of 80-66. Wagner has struggled with a winless 0-5 record this season, while Manhattan is at 3-3 overall. The game is expected to be competitive but favors Manhattan based on current form and historical results.
Key Factors to Consider
- Manhattan Jaspers have a 3-3 record this season, showing better offensive output (491 points scored) compared to Wagner's 0-5 record and lower scoring (341 points). Manhattanβs recent form includes a narrow loss to Texas A&M and a solid win over Wagner previously, indicating capability to cover spread and win moneyline. Wagner, meanwhile, has endured a 5-game losing streak and a recent heavy defeat to VCU (103-74).
- Manhattan leads the historical series with a 3-1 win record against Wagner since 2006. The most recent encounter resulted in an 80-66 Manhattan victory. Manhattan also holds stronger away records against Wagner (2-0) and has won the last matchup convincingly.
- No specific injury data available at present for either team, implying both squads may be near full strength.
- Manhattan is playing at home, which historically benefits their performance. The motivation factor for Wagner is high to break their losing streak, but their away struggles and form are significant external challenges.
- Manhattan aims to bounce back after a recent loss and maintain their positive head-to-head dominance. Wagner seeks to end a poor run of form but may be under psychological pressure given their 0-5 record and recent heavy road losses.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Manhattan Jaspers: -167, Wagner Seahawks: 130 | Manhattan Jaspers to win | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Manhattan Jaspers: -3.5 -108, Wagner Seahawks: +3.5 -118 | Manhattan Jaspers to cover -3.5 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over: 147.5 -109, Under: 147.5 -117 | Under 147.5 points | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Manhattan Jaspers -4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 147.5 2% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 147.5 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Manhattan Jaspers are favored to win both the moneyline and cover the -3.5 point spread. The total points are likely to stay around the 147.5 line, with a slight lean towards the under considering defensive strengths and recent game pacing.
Predicted Score: Manhattan Jaspers 76 – 68 Wagner Seahawks