Match Analysis: Stonehill Skyhawks vs UMass Lowell River Hawks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-26
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: Merkert Gymnasium, Easton, MA
Game Overview
The Stonehill Skyhawks host the UMass Lowell River Hawks in a midweek NCAA Division I men's basketball matchup. Stonehill enters the game with a 2-5 record, coming off a narrow home win against Lafayette, while UMass Lowell is 1-6 and has lost five straight road games. The game is scheduled for 12:00 PM ET at Merkert Gymnasium and will be broadcast on NEC Front Row.
Key Factors to Consider
- Stonehill averages 69.4 points per game (318th in college basketball) and allows 73.3 points per game (183rd). They have a -27 scoring differential and hit 8.1 three-pointers per game. UMass Lowell averages 84.0 points per game, but their defense is porous, allowing 73.3 points per game. Stonehill has been outscored by 3.9 points per game, while UMass Lowell has struggled on the road, losing all five away games this season.
- UMass Lowell has won the last three meetings between these teams, including a 78-67 victory in their most recent matchup. However, Stonehill has a 2-0 home record this season, while UMass Lowell is 0-5 on the road.
- No significant injuries have been reported for either team as of the latest updates.
- The game is being played at Merkert Gymnasium, Stonehill's home court, which could provide a slight advantage for the Skyhawks. The game is part of the early non-conference schedule, with both teams looking to build momentum for conference play.
- Stonehill is looking to build on their recent home win and improve their home record. UMass Lowell is seeking their first road victory of the season and will be motivated to break their losing streak.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Stonehill Skyhawks: -182, UMass Lowell River Hawks: 150 | Stonehill Skyhawks | β β β β β 70% |
| Spread | Stonehill Skyhawks: -3.5 -110, UMass Lowell River Hawks: 3.5 -110 | Stonehill Skyhawks cover the spread | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over: 149.5 -115, Under: 149.5 -105 | Over | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Stonehill Skyhawks -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 149.5 3% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 149.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Stonehill is favored to win this game, with a spread of -3.5. The Skyhawks have shown improvement at home and are expected to win by a comfortable margin. The total points line is set at 149.5, with the over being slightly favored due to UMass Lowell's high-scoring offense and Stonehill's defensive struggles.
Predicted Score: Stonehill Skyhawks 76, UMass Lowell River Hawks 73