Match Analysis: Bologna vs Salzburg – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 27, 2025
- Time: 8:00 PM UTC
- Location: Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna, Italy
Game Overview
Bologna hosts Red Bull Salzburg in the fifth matchday of the UEFA Europa League League Phase. This is the first meeting between these two clubs in the Europa League. Bologna currently sits in 3rd place in the standings, while Salzburg occupies 28th place, indicating a significant quality gap between the two sides. Bologna will be looking to maintain their strong position and secure three points at home, while Salzburg seeks to upset the favorites and climb the table.
Key Factors to Consider
- Bologna has demonstrated superior form and league position (3rd vs 28th), suggesting they are significantly outperforming Salzburg in the competition. Bologna's placement in the upper echelon of the Europa League table indicates consistent results and tactical prowess. Salzburg's position near the bottom suggests they have struggled to adapt to this competition level.
- This marks the first encounter between Bologna and Salzburg in the UEFA Europa League, so there is no historical head-to-head data to reference. Both teams will be approaching this match with limited knowledge of direct tactical matchups.
- Specific injury information is not available in the provided search results. Both teams' medical status should be monitored through official team announcements.
- The match takes place at Bologna's home stadium, providing a significant advantage. The home crowd, familiar pitch conditions, and no travel fatigue give Bologna a clear edge. Salzburg must travel to Italy and adapt to unfamiliar conditions.
- Bologna is motivated to maintain their position near the top of the table and build momentum. Salzburg requires a positive result to improve their standing and demonstrate they can compete with stronger opponents in this competition.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Bologna: -255 | Salzburg: 640 | Draw: 380 | Bologna Win | β β β β β 78% |
| Spread | Bologna -1.25 (-113) | Salzburg +1.25 (-107) | Bologna -1.25 | β β β β β 72% |
| Over/under | Over 2.75 (-110) | Under 2.75 (-110) | Under 2.75 | β β β ββ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Bologna -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.75 -3% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Bologna at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bologna is heavily favored to secure a victory at home against a significantly weaker Salzburg side. The combination of superior league position, home advantage, and recent form suggests Bologna should control the match and secure three points. A Bologna win is the most probable outcome.
Predicted Score: Bologna 2 – 0 Salzburg