Match Analysis: Lille vs Dinamo Zagreb – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-27
- Time: 5:45 PM UTC
- Location: Decathlon Arena – Stade Pierre Mauroy, Lille, France
Game Overview
Lille will host Dinamo Zagreb at Stade Pierre Mauroy in a UEFA Europa League group phase match. Lille currently sits 19th while Dinamo Zagreb is 12th in the group standings. Lille aims to avoid consecutive Europa League defeats at home, having a strong historic performance against Croatian teams in their arena. Dinamo Zagreb struggles against top-5 league teams and conceded multiple goals recently, which contrasts Lille's offensive capabilities.
Key Factors to Consider
- Lille has lost only two competitive home games this season and never lost to Croatian sides at home, conceding only once in past matches. Their recent form shows some vulnerability but also a solid home advantage. Dinamo Zagreb has a less favorable European away record and has been leaking goals against high-quality opponents, struggling especially on foreign soil.
- This is the first meeting between Lille and Dinamo Zagreb in the Europa League. Lille has a perfect home record against Croatian teams historically with no losses and only one goal conceded in past matches against Croatian opposition.
- No specific injury information was available in the sources, indicating no major absences reported for either team at this time.
- The match is played at a large home stadium for Lille, giving them a typical home advantage. The pressure to gain points to secure a top-eight Europa League placing adds competitive urgency for both sides.
- Lille needs points to move up in the group and avoid consecutive defeats in the competition. Dinamo Zagreb is motivated to improve their standing and secure a rare away win on French soil, which historically has been difficult.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Dinamo Zagreb: 455, Lille: -186, Draw: 335 | Lille to win | β β β β β 78% |
| Spread | Dinamo Zagreb +1: -102, Lille -1: -118 | Lille -1 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over 2.75: -122, Under 2.75: 102 | Over 2.75 goals | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Lille -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.75 6% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Lille wins with a strong home performance taking advantage of Dinamo Zagrebβs away struggles and defensive weaknesses.
Predicted Score: Lille 3-1 Dinamo Zagreb