Match Analysis: Rochester Americans vs Cleveland Monsters – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-27
- Time: 12:05 AM UTC
- Location: Blue Cross Arena, Rochester, NY
Game Overview
This matchup features the Rochester Americans hosting the Cleveland Monsters in a North Division clash of the AHL. Both teams are in the middle of their 2025-26 regular season, with Rochester having a strong recent record at home and Cleveland looking to bounce back from a tough stretch. The game is scheduled for Wednesday, November 26, 2025, at 7:05 PM local time (00:05 UTC on Nov 27).
Key Factors to Consider
- Rochester Americans have been dominant at home, especially against Cleveland, with a 7-0-1-0 record in their last eight visits to Cleveland dating back to 2023-24. They have scored 24 goals in their first seven games this season, leading the North Division in offense and boasting the league's highest power-play tally (11). Cleveland has struggled recently, with a loss to Milwaukee in their last outing and a record of 2-3-0 in their last five games. Their offense has been inconsistent, and they have allowed more goals than average.
- Rochester has a clear edge in recent head-to-head matchups, especially on the road. In the last eight meetings, Rochester is 7-0-1-0 against Cleveland. The last meeting was a 3-4 OT win for Rochester, indicating a competitive but favorable trend for the home team. Rochester has outscored Cleveland in these recent meetings and has shown resilience in close games.
- No major injuries have been reported for either team as of the latest updates. Both rosters appear to be at full strength, which means the outcome will likely hinge on form and tactical matchups rather than missing key players.
- The game is being played at Blue Cross Arena, where Rochester has a strong home record. The venue is known for its energetic atmosphere, which can boost the home team's performance. The weather is not expected to impact the game, and there are no travel issues reported for either team.
- Rochester is motivated to maintain their top spot in the North Division and continue their strong home form. Cleveland is looking to improve their road record and climb the standings after a series of losses. Both teams are in a competitive part of the season, with playoff implications on the line.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Rochester Americans: -145, Cleveland Monsters: 110 | Rochester Americans | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Rochester Americans -1.5: 185, Cleveland Monsters +1.5: -250 | Rochester Americans -1.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 5.5: -110, Under 5.5: -120 | Over 5.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Rochester Americans -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 5.5 5% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 5.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Rochester Americans are favored to win this game due to their strong home record, recent dominance over Cleveland, and superior offensive output. The game is expected to be close, with Rochester likely to win in regulation or overtime. The spread and over/under odds suggest a tight contest, but Rochester's recent form gives them the edge.
Predicted Score: Rochester Americans 4, Cleveland Monsters 3