Match Analysis: Grand Canyon Antelopes vs Utah Utes – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-26
- Time: 5:00 AM UTC
- Location: Acrisure Arena, Palm Springs, CA
Game Overview
This NCAA Basketball game between the Grand Canyon Antelopes and Utah Utes is set at a neutral venue with Grand Canyon favored by about 4.5 points. Utah enters the game with a superior 5-1 record compared to Grand Canyon's 3-2 (Action Network), but Grand Canyon holds advantages in recent trends at neutral sites and defensive metrics (PickDawgz). The total points over/under is set near 159.5 points.
Key Factors to Consider
- Utah boasts a 5-1 record with a strong offense but weaker defense allowing 6 more points per game than Grand Canyon. Grand Canyon holds a 3-2 record but has strong defensive stats such as 4th in opponent rebounds per game and 15th in rebound percentage. Utah has yet to play on the road this season.
- No recent direct head-to-head data provided, but Grand Canyon has won their last 8 games in scenarios with rest disadvantages and has historically covered first halves well at neutral venues against non-ranked opponents, whereas Utah has struggled at neutral sites with 6 straight losses (PickDawgz).
- No specific injury data is available from the sources for this match.
- The game is at a neutral arena in Palm Springs, which historically favors Grand Canyon given Utah's poor neutral site record. Public betting overwhelmingly favors Grand Canyon (100% bets) on the spread indicating market confidence in home team advantage (Action Network).
- Grand Canyon is looking to assert home/neutral venue strength and capitalize on Utahβs first road test of the season. Utah aims to maintain their season success but faces pressure due to weaker defense and the rest disadvantage scenario.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Grand Canyon Antelopes: -175, Utah Utes: 145 | Grand Canyon Antelopes win | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Grand Canyon Antelopes: -4.5 -110, Utah Utes: +4.5 -110 | Grand Canyon covers the -4.5 spread | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over: 159.5 -110, Under: 159.5 -110 | Over 159.5 points | β β β ββ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Grand Canyon Antelopes 1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 159.5 3% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 159.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Grand Canyon Antelopes are predicted to win the game, covering the -4.5 point spread due to their strong defensive performance and excellent recent form at neutral venues. Utahβs strong season record is weighted down by poor away/neutral venue performance and defensive vulnerabilities.
Predicted Score: Grand Canyon Antelopes 83 – Utah Utes 77