Match Analysis: Georgia Southern Eagles vs UTSA Roadrunners – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-26
- Time: 2:00 AM UTC
- Location: Jacksonville, FL
Game Overview
This NCAA Men's Basketball matchup features the Georgia Southern Eagles hosting the UTSA Roadrunners in Jacksonville, FL. Both teams are in the early stages of their 2025-26 season, with Georgia Southern entering at 3-4 and UTSA at 3-3. The game is part of a neutral-site event, the Jacksonville Classic, which may slightly alter home-court advantage. The contest is expected to be competitive, with both teams showing moderate scoring and defensive capabilities so far this season.
Key Factors to Consider
- Georgia Southern has shown a balanced attack, averaging around 78 points per game with a solid defense, but has struggled against stronger opponents. UTSA has been slightly more consistent, averaging 75 points per game and showing resilience in close games. Both teams have faced mixed competition, with Georgia Southern losing to East Carolina and winning against UNC Asheville, while UTSA has split games against teams like Tulane and East Carolina.
- Recent head-to-head matchups between these teams are limited, but Georgia Southern has a slight edge in their last few meetings, often winning by narrow margins. The most recent encounter was a close game, with Georgia Southern prevailing by 4 points.
- No significant injuries have been reported for either team as of the latest updates. Both squads are expected to field their full rosters.
- The game is being played at a neutral site, which may reduce the home-court advantage for Georgia Southern. The venue, Jacksonville, FL, is a familiar location for both teams, and the crowd support is likely to be evenly split. Weather conditions are not expected to impact the game.
- Both teams are looking to build momentum early in the season. Georgia Southern aims to improve their record and gain confidence, while UTSA seeks to solidify their standing and prepare for conference play. The neutral-site setting adds an extra layer of motivation, as both teams want to perform well in front of a broader audience.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Georgia Southern Eagles: -125, UTSA Roadrunners: 105 | Georgia Southern Eagles | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | Georgia Southern Eagles: -1.5 -110, UTSA Roadrunners: 1.5 -110 | Georgia Southern Eagles | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over: 160.5 -110, Under: 160.5 -110 | Over | β β β ββ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Georgia Southern Eagles 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 160.5 -1% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Georgia Southern Eagles at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Georgia Southern is favored to win this game, but the margin is expected to be narrow. The Eagles' recent form and slight edge in head-to-head matchups give them a slight advantage. However, UTSA's consistency and defensive capabilities make them a tough opponent. The game is likely to be close, with Georgia Southern winning by a small margin.
Predicted Score: Georgia Southern Eagles 82, UTSA Roadrunners 78