Match Analysis: Missouri Tigers vs South Carolina St Bulldogs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-26
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Mizzou Arena, Columbia, MO
Game Overview
Missouri Tigers, undefeated at 6-0 and ranked first nationally in field goal percentage (57.6%), host South Carolina State Bulldogs, who are 0-5 and struggling offensively. Missouri is coming off a dominant 102-68 win over South Dakota, while South Carolina State narrowly lost 82-81 in their last outing. The matchup features a significant talent and efficiency gap, with Missouri favored by over 30 points.
Key Factors to Consider
- Missouri is averaging 93.2 points per game and shooting 57.6% from the field, the best in the nation. They are also strong defensively, limiting opponents to 39.7% shooting. South Carolina State averages just 64.5 points per game and shoots 32.1% from three-point range. Their defense has allowed high scoring in recent games, and they have lost all five contests by double digits except one.
- No recent head-to-head matchups are available between Missouri and South Carolina State. Missouriβs dominance in efficiency and scoring should give them a clear advantage in this first meeting.
- No injury reports are available for either team at this time.
- Missouri is playing at home in Mizzou Arena, where they have a perfect record this season. South Carolina State is 0-4 away from home and has struggled on the road. The game is scheduled for late night/early morning UTC, which may affect travel and rest for the visiting Bulldogs.
- Missouri is motivated to maintain their undefeated record and national ranking. South Carolina State is seeking their first win of the season and will be looking to compete despite the odds.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Missouri -1000, South Carolina State +600 | Missouri Tigers | β β β β β 95% |
| Spread | Missouri Tigers -33.5 -110, South Carolina St Bulldogs 33.5 -110 | Missouri Tigers -33.5 | β β β β β 85% |
| Over/under | Over 160.5 -110, Under 160.5 -110 | Over 160.5 | β β β β β 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 160.5 24% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 160.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Missouri is expected to win decisively due to their superior offensive efficiency, defensive strength, and home-court advantage. South Carolina State is likely to struggle to keep the game close, with Missouri covering the large spread and the total likely to go over.
Predicted Score: Missouri Tigers 95, South Carolina State Bulldogs 65