Match Analysis: Texas A&M Aggies vs Miss Valley St Delta Devils – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-26
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Reed Arena, College Station, TX
Game Overview
Texas A&M Aggies (4-2) host Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils (1-6) in an NCAA Men's Basketball game. Texas A&M is coming off a dominant 109-68 home win and has won 2 straight games, while Mississippi Valley State has lost 5 straight and struggles offensively with a 69.3 points per game average. The match is expected to be lopsided, reflecting Texas A&M's superior form and home advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
- Texas A&M shows strong offensive output, averaging around 89 points in their last 3 games and holding a 4-1 home record. Mississippi Valley State has a poor 1-6 start, scoring just 69.33 points per game with a negative point differential of -124. Texas A&M outperforms the Delta Devils in field goal percentage and rebounds.
- Limited recent head-to-head data available, but Texas A&M dominates in recent matchups and is favored heavily in all betting markets, reflecting historical and current team strengths.
- No significant injuries reported for key players from either team as of the latest updates.
- Home-court advantage strongly favors Texas A&M at Reed Arena. The Aggies have a strong fan presence that may affect momentum. Mississippi Valley State has been on a poor road stretch, losing all five away games this season.
- Texas A&M aims to maintain momentum and improve their SEC standing after recent big wins. Mississippi Valley State looks to break a 5-game losing streak, likely fighting morale issues and fatigue.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Texas A&M: -450, Miss Valley St: +350 | Texas A&M to win | β β β β β 90% |
| Spread | Texas A&M: -42.5 (-105), Miss Valley St: +42.5 (-115) | Texas A&M to cover -42.5 | β β β β β 85% |
| Over/under | Over: 153.5 (-105), Under: 153.5 (-115) | Over 153.5 total points | β β β β β 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 153.5 27% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 153.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Texas A&M Aggies are heavily favored to win convincingly due to superior performance, home advantage, and motivation. Expect Texas A&M to cover the large spread and the game total to go over 153.5 points.
Predicted Score: Texas A&M Aggies 95 – 55 Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils