Match Analysis: Arizona St Sun Devils vs Washington St Cougars – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-26
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Lahaina Civic Center, Maui, HI
Game Overview
This matchup features the Arizona State Sun Devils hosting the Washington State Cougars in the semifinals of the Southwest Maui Invitational. Both teams are coming off competitive performances, with Arizona State showing resilience in close games and Washington State relying on a high-powered offense but struggling defensively. The game is expected to be fast-paced, with both teams capable of scoring but also vulnerable on defense.
Key Factors to Consider
- Arizona State is averaging 71.6 possessions per game (100th in adjusted tempo), indicating a fast-paced style. They recently won a tight game against Texas as a seven-point underdog. Washington State is averaging 81.3 points per game (175th in scoring offense) but ranks poorly in defensive efficiency (268th) and effective field goal percentage defense (345th). They have gone over the total in four of six games, largely due to defensive lapses.
- Arizona State leads the all-time series 46-42, including a 73-61 home win in the most recent matchup on February 24, 2024. The Sun Devils have shown a consistent edge in recent meetings.
- No significant injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates.
- The game is being played at a neutral site (Lahaina Civic Center), which may slightly reduce Arizona State's home-court advantage. The venue is known for its intimate atmosphere, which can influence team performance.
- Both teams are motivated to advance in the tournament, with Arizona State looking to build on their recent momentum and Washington State aiming to overcome their defensive struggles and make a deep run.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Arizona St Sun Devils: -275, Washington St Cougars: 220 | Arizona St Sun Devils | Not available |
| Spread | Arizona St Sun Devils: -6.5 -115, Washington St Cougars: 6.5 -105 | Arizona St Sun Devils | Not available |
| Over/under | Over: 158.5 -115, Under: 158.5 -105 | Over | Not available |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Arizona St Sun Devils -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 158.5 50% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 158.5 at 50% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 57% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Arizona State is favored to win this game, given their recent form and head-to-head advantage. However, Washington State's offensive capabilities and the fast-paced nature of the game suggest a high-scoring contest. The Sun Devils are likely to cover the spread, and the total is expected to go over.
Predicted Score: Arizona State 85, Washington State 78