Match Analysis: FC Barcelona Bàsquet vs ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-26
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: Palau Blaugrana
Game Overview
FC Barcelona Bàsquet hosts ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne in a Euroleague matchup at Palau Blaugrana. Barcelona is a heavy favorite, with the game expected to be high-scoring based on recent trends and team statistics.
Key Factors to Consider
- Barcelona has been dominant this season, averaging 85.1 points per game and a PIR of 92.9. ASVEL averages 75.6 points per game and a PIR of 76.5. Barcelona's offense is more efficient, with higher shooting percentages and better rebounding. ASVEL has struggled defensively, allowing 85.6 points per game and a PIR of 102.3.
- Barcelona leads the recent head-to-head series, winning 6 of the last 11 meetings. The most recent match was a 100-94 win for ASVEL, but Barcelona has won 4 of the last 6 encounters. Barcelona has shown consistency in home games, while ASVEL has struggled on the road.
- No significant injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates.
- Barcelona has a strong home-court advantage at Palau Blaugrana, with a passionate fan base and a history of strong performances. ASVEL will be traveling, which could impact their performance.
- Barcelona is motivated to maintain their position at the top of the Euroleague standings. ASVEL is fighting for a playoff spot and will be looking to upset the favorites.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne: 640, FC Barcelona Bàsquet: -1786 | FC Barcelona Bàsquet | ★★★★★ 95% |
| Spread | ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne: 14.5, FC Barcelona Bàsquet: -14.5 | FC Barcelona Bàsquet -14.5 | ★★★★☆ 85% |
| Over/under | over: 165, under: 165 | Over 165 | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | FC Barcelona Bàsquet 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 165 38% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 165 at 38% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 45.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Barcelona is expected to win this match, with a strong performance at home. The game is likely to be high-scoring, with Barcelona's offense overpowering ASVEL's defense.
Predicted Score: Barcelona 88 – 77 ASVEL