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Joshua Padley vs. Reece Bellotti Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Joshua Padley vs Reece Bellotti – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-11
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Utilita Arena, Sheffield, GB

Game Overview

This is a Super-Featherweight 10-round bout between British fighters Joshua Padley and Reece Bellotti. Padley is the heavy favorite due to recent form and home advantage, while Bellotti looks for redemption after a tough recent stoppage loss.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Joshua Padley is in excellent recent form with dominant performances and a significant winning streak, showcasing solid technical skills and stamina. Reece Bellotti has struggled lately with a notable loss by late stoppage but remains a tenacious competitor.
  • There is no prior recorded head-to-head meeting between Padley and Bellotti, making this their first competitive encounter.
  • No publicized injuries for either fighter leading up to the bout, implying both are in full fitness to compete at peak level.
  • The fight is on Padley’s home turf in Sheffield, providing a strong crowd support and familiar environment, which could influence momentum and morale during the fight.
  • Padley is motivated to maintain his undefeated momentum and capitalize on home advantage, while Bellotti is driven to rebound strongly from a recent stoppage loss, seeking to revive his career trajectory.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Joshua Padley: -550, Reece Bellotti: +366 Joshua Padley ★★★★☆ 88%
Spread Padley -3.5: -190, Bellotti +3.5: +150 Padley -3.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 8.5 rounds: -285, Under 8.5 rounds: +212 Under 8.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Joshua Padley -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8.5 87%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 87% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 41.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Joshua Padley to win decisively by decision with the fight going the distance.

Predicted Score: Padley wins by decision after 10 rounds


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Joshua Padley vs. Reece Bellotti Prediction

Match Analysis: Joshua Padley vs Reece Bellotti – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-10-11 Time: 8:00 PM UTC Location: Utilita Arena, Sheffield, GB Game Overview This is a Super-Featherweight 10-round bout between British fighters Joshua Padley and Reece Bellotti. Padley is the heavy favorite due to recent form and home advantage, while Bellotti looks for redemption […]

Boxing Joshua Padley October 11, 2025 Reece Bellotti

MORE FROM BOXING

Jaron Ennis vs. Uisma Lima Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Jaron Ennis vs Uisma Lima – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-11
  • Time: 3:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, United States

Game Overview

Jaron Ennis steps up to junior middleweight (154 lbs) in a WBA title eliminator against Uisma Lima. Ennis is undefeated (34-0, 30 KOs), coming off a unification win at welterweight, while Lima is on a four-fight winning streak after his sole loss. Ennis is the overwhelming favorite to win decisively.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ennis dominated at welterweight before moving up and has substantial knockout power and undefeated record. Lima has shown resilience with recent wins but lacks the high-level achievements and power of Ennis.
  • No prior fights between Ennis and Lima; this is their first meeting.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter as of fight week.
  • Fight promoted in Philadelphia, giving Ennis likely home crowd advantage. Ennis fights on DAZN with strong media support. Both fighters must make the 154-pound limit.
  • Ennis is highly motivated to establish himself early in the junior middleweight division and secure a world title shot. Lima aims to cause an upset and leverage momentum but is a clear underdog.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Jaron Ennis -5000 / Uisma Lima +1200 Jaron Ennis ★★★★★ 92%
Spread Ennis -6.5 rounds, Lima +6.5 rounds (odds vary by bookmaker) Ennis -6.5 rounds (win by 7th round or earlier) ★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under Over 7.5 rounds -125 / Under 7.5 rounds -105 Under 7.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 80%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jaron Ennis -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 7.5 37%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 7.5 at 37% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 38.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jaron Ennis wins by knockout (TKO/KO) before round 7

Predicted Score: Ennis wins by 6th round TKO


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Alexis Barriere vs. Guido Vianello Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Alexis Barriere vs Guido Vianello – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-12
  • Time: 2:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Undisclosed venue

Game Overview

A heavyweight boxing match between Alexis Barriere and Guido Vianello. Both fighters are relatively evenly matched according to current bookmaker odds, indicating a competitive bout likely to go beyond the early rounds.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both fighters have shown solid recent form; Alexis Barriere has been favored in recent fights and shows strong endurance with a tendency to win in later rounds, while Guido Vianello is a resilient and experienced heavyweight with power to secure late stoppages.
  • No direct previous head-to-head bouts found, making this a fresh tactical matchup with styles and experience playing key roles.
  • No reported injuries for either Alexis Barriere or Guido Vianello entering the fight, suggesting both are at full health and prepared.
  • No significant external distractions or venue-related factors impacting either fighter; evenly matched odds reflect no home advantage.
  • Both fighters appear highly motivated to win, with Barriere looking to solidify status as a heavyweight contender, while Vianello aims to upset and climb rankings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -115, away: -115 Alexis Barriere ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread home -1.5: +120, away +1.5: -140 Alexis Barriere -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under over 8.5: -250, under 8.5: +200 Over 8.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Alexis Barriere -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 8.5 -5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Alexis Barriere at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Alexis Barriere to win by decision after full rounds

Predicted Score: Alexis Barriere wins via unanimous decision after 10 rounds


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Tahmir Smalls vs. Jose Roman Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Tahmir Smalls vs Jose Roman – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-12
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, United States

Game Overview

The welterweight boxing match between Tahmir Smalls and Jose Roman Vazquez is scheduled for 10 rounds at the Wells Fargo Center. Smalls enters as a heavy favorite, with bookmakers strongly favoring him based on recent performances and odds movement.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Tahmir Smalls has demonstrated dominant form with a sharp record and odds consistently favoring him significantly. Jose Roman Vazquez is viewed as a major underdog with modest chances.
  • There is no recorded direct head-to-head matchup between these fighters, limiting direct comparison but bookmakers rely heavily on form and style analysis.
  • No publicly reported injuries affecting either fighter at the time of analysis.
  • The fight is held at a neutral yet familiar venue for Smalls (Philadelphia). No notable external disruptions or conditions reported.
  • Smalls is motivated to maintain his favored status while Vazquez appears as an underdog seeking an upset to elevate his profile.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Smalls: -650, Roman: +416 Tahmir Smalls ★★★★☆ 88%
Over/under Over 8.5: -110, Under 8.5: -120 Under 8.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Tahmir Smalls 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8.5 28%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 28% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 34% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Tahmir Smalls to win on the moneyline, covering the spread, and the fight to go under 8.5 rounds.

Predicted Score: Tahmir Smalls wins by stoppage before round 9


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Dennis Thompson vs. Sean Diaz Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Dennis Thompson vs Sean Diaz – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-11
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, PA

Game Overview

Junior featherweight 6-round bout between Dennis Thompson (#196 ranked) and Sean Diaz (#466 ranked). Thompson is the clear favorite with a dominant professional ranking and significant betting market edge.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Dennis Thompson has consistently delivered dominant performances at the junior featherweight level, showing technical skill and power. Sean Diaz, though younger and less experienced, has shown resilience but limited upside against top-tier opponents.
  • No prior professional head-to-head bouts recorded between Thompson and Diaz, so no direct matchup data is available.
  • No publicly reported injuries affecting either fighter going into this bout.
  • Fight location in Philadelphia favors Dennis Thompson due to regional familiarity and potential crowd support. No travel or other notable external disruptions reported.
  • Thompson is motivated to maintain momentum as a top prospect and elevate his ranking, while Diaz seeks to upset a higher-ranked opponent for career breakthrough.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Dennis Thompson: -1200, Sean Diaz: 650 Dennis Thompson ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Dennis Thompson -3.5: -220, Sean Diaz +3.5: +180 Dennis Thompson -3.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under Over 5.5 rounds: +140, Under 5.5 rounds: -180 Under 5.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Dennis Thompson -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Dennis Thompson at -7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Dennis Thompson to win on moneyline

Predicted Score: Dennis Thompson wins by late-round stoppage or unanimous decision around round 5-6


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Justin Palmieri vs. Naheem Parker Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Justin Palmieri vs Naheem Parker – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: October 11, 2025
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

Justin Palmieri is strongly favored to win against Naheem Parker in a lightweight boxing match. The odds reflect Palmieri's perceived superiority, but factors like recent form and potential injuries could influence the outcome.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Justin Palmieri is favored due to his current form and odds, suggesting a strong performance. Naheem Parker, while an underdog, may have opportunities to upset if Palmieri is off his game.
  • No recent head-to-head results are available to analyze.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • External factors like crowd support and environment could impact both fighters' performances.
  • Both fighters are motivated to win, but Palmieri's recent success might give him an edge in confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Justin Palmieri: -1800, Naheem Parker: 800 Justin Palmieri ★★★★★ 90%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Justin Palmieri -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Justin Palmieri at -10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Justin Palmieri is expected to win based on the odds and his perceived advantage.

Predicted Score: Justin Palmieri wins by TKO/KO in later rounds or by decision.


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Giorgio Visoli vs. James Wilkinson Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Giorgio Visoli vs James Wilkinson – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-12
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Unknown

Game Overview

A boxing match between Giorgio Visoli and James Wilkinson scheduled for October 12, 2025, at 01:00 UTC. Visoli is a heavy favorite given his dominant recent performances and significant odds advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Giorgio Visoli has shown recent strong form with a RTD5 win over Francisco Javier Lucero and consistent stoppages, indicating superior finishing ability. James Wilkinson has won his last 8 fights, but mostly by decision and less emphatically.
  • No documented head-to-head previous fights between Visoli and Wilkinson, suggesting no direct matchup data.
  • No reported injuries to either fighter at the time of this analysis, implying both are physically fit.
  • The bout is neutral venue with no reported external conditions/status affecting either fighter significantly.
  • Visoli appears motivated to maintain dominance and progress in his career trajectory, while Wilkinson’s motivation, though strong given his winning streak, is suspected to be lesser given his style and recent lack of stoppage results.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Giorgio Visoli: -3335, James Wilkinson: +1150 Giorgio Visoli ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Home -3.5 rounds (Visoli): -150, Away +3.5 rounds (Wilkinson): +130 Home -3.5 rounds (Visoli) ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under Over 7.5 rounds: +110, Under 7.5 rounds: -130 Under 7.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Giorgio Visoli -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Giorgio Visoli at -7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Giorgio Visoli to win by knockout

Predicted Score: Visoli wins by 5th-round stoppage


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Zaquin Moses vs. Antonio Dunton-El Jr. Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Zaquin Moses vs Antonio Dunton-El Jr. – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: October 12, 2025
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

Zaquin Moses is heavily favored against Antonio Dunton-El Jr. in this Super Featherweight boxing match.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Zaquin Moses has a strong profile and is favored to win due to his advantageous odds.
  • No historical head-to-head data is provided, but Zaquin Moses' overall performance suggests a higher likelihood of victory.
  • No information is available on injuries affecting either fighter.
  • External factors such as venue and crowd support are not detailed.
  • Both fighters are likely motivated to perform well, but Zaquin Moses' advantage suggests higher confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Antonio Dunton-El Jr.: +1500, Zaquin Moses: -5000 Zaquin Moses ★★★★☆ 85%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Zaquin Moses -13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Zaquin Moses at -13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Zaquin Moses is expected to win the match.

Predicted Score: Zaquin Moses wins by TKO/KO or decision.


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David Allen vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: David Allen vs Arslanbek Makhmudov – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-11
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Sheffield Arena, Sheffield, United Kingdom

Game Overview

Heavyweight bout between British fan-favorite Dave Allen and hard-hitting Arslanbek Makhmudov. Both are orthodox fighters with high knockout rates, but Makhmudov holds significant size and reach advantages. The fight is scheduled for 12 rounds, with no weight limit, and will be broadcast live on DAZN worldwide[1][2].

Key Factors to Consider

  • Makhmudov boasts a higher knockout percentage (95% vs. Allen’s 79%) and a slightly superior record (20-2-0 vs. 24-7-2), but has fought fewer total rounds, suggesting a lower workrate and possibly less experience in deep waters. Allen has more ring miles and is ranked #8 by the WBA[2].
  • No previous meetings between the two. Makhmudov’s power is the X-factor, while Allen’s experience and grit in tough fights could be decisive if he survives the early onslaught[2].
  • No public injury reports for either fighter. Both appear to be healthy going into the bout.
  • Home crowd advantage for Allen at Sheffield, but he’s considered the underdog by the oddsmakers. The fight is live on DAZN, which could motivate both to put on a show[1][2].
  • Allen is seeking to prove he belongs with top heavyweights in possibly his last big domestic opportunity. Makhmudov is aiming to reassert himself after recent setbacks and boost his profile internationally[2].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Makhmudov -105, Allen -125 Makhmudov to win ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 6.5 -125, Under 6.5 -105 Under 6.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Arslanbek Makhmudov 7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 6.5 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 6.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Makhmudov enters as the favorite due to power and physical advantages, but Allen’s toughness, experience, and home crowd could make this closer than the odds suggest. Bookmakers give Makhmudov a 53% chance and Allen a 47% chance, showing only a slight edge for the Russian[1]. Expect a violent, competitive fight, but Makhmudov’s early power is the likeliest decisive factor.

Predicted Score: Makhmudov wins by TKO/KO in rounds 4-6[2]


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Junaid Bostan vs. Bilal Fawaz Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Junaid Bostan vs Bilal Fawaz – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-11
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Utilita Arena, Sheffield, GB

Game Overview

Junaid Bostan and Bilal Fawaz are set for a highly anticipated rematch for the vacant English super welterweight title, following their first encounter which ended in a split draw.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Junaid Bostan started strong in their first fight but was pressured by Bilal Fawaz's relentless body shots. Bostan's performance in the early rounds and his ability to withstand pressure will be crucial.
  • The first fight was closely contested with Bostan's sharp combinations against Fawaz's aggressive style. The draw indicates both fighters have the potential to win, depending on how they adapt.
  • There are no reported injuries affecting the fighters' performances.
  • The fight is in Bostan's hometown, which might provide an advantage in terms of crowd support.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, given the controversy surrounding their first fight and the title on the line.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -255/+192 Junaid Bostan ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under -255/+192 for Over/Under 8.5 rounds Over 8.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Junaid Bostan -23%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 8.5 0%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 8.5 at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bostan is favored to win, but Fawaz has a strong chance of upsetting given his aggressive style might tax Bostan's stamina.

Predicted Score: No specific score prediction applicable in boxing.


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