Match Analysis: Marshall Thundering Herd vs Old Dominion Monarchs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-11
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: Joan C. Edwards Stadium, Huntington, WV
Game Overview
Old Dominion (4-1, 1-0 Sun Belt), riding a four-game win streak and receiving rare national poll votes, visits Marshall (2-3, 0-1 Sun Belt), fresh off a devastating overtime loss. ODU is favored by two touchdowns despite a poor historical record at Marshall.
Key Factors to Consider
- Old Dominion is in peak form with four straight wins, coming off its best performance under coach Ricky Rahne, and showing both offensive and defensive progress. Marshall, meanwhile, has been inconsistent, especially defensively, surrendering 54 points in a recent OT loss[3][4].
- Marshall leads the all-time series 9-1, including a 5-0 home record. ODU has lost seven straight meetings, a significant negative trend for the Monarchs[4].
- No significant injuries reported for either team as of latest updates[1].
- ODU is receiving national attention for the first time in its FBS history, potentially increasing pressure. Marshallβs defense has shown vulnerabilities, which ODUβs offense may exploit, but ODUβs road struggles in this series remain a concern[4].
- ODU is highly motivated to break their losing streak against Marshall and validate their strong start, while Marshall seeks to rebound from a tough loss and protect their home-field dominance in the series[4].
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Marshall: +440, Old Dominion: -600 | Old Dominion Monarchs | β β β β β 78% |
Spread | Marshall: +14.5 -115, Old Dominion: -14.5 -105 | Marshall Thundering Herd +14.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | Over: 57.5 -108, Under: 57.5 -112 | Over 57.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Old Dominion Monarchs -8% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 57.5 19% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 57.5 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Old Dominionβs strong form and superior roster quality outweigh historical trends, though the large spread is aggressive given Marshallβs home-field history. Expect a Monarchs win, but Marshall to hang within two touchdowns in a higher-scoring game.
Predicted Score: Old Dominion 34, Marshall 24