Match Analysis: William & Mary Tribe vs UTEP Miners – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-24
- Time: 9:00 PM UTC
- Location: Jacksonville, Florida
Game Overview
The William & Mary Tribe (4-2) face the UTEP Miners (3-2) in the Jacksonville Classic at a neutral venue in Jacksonville, Florida. Both teams have shown competitive form early in the 2025-26 NCAA season, with William & Mary slightly ahead in win-loss record and coming off solid performances at home and on the road. UTEP also has a balanced record, performing well in early season games but with close losses noted in their schedule.
Key Factors to Consider
- William & Mary has a 4-2 record with strong offensive outings including a high-scoring 110-63 win earlier this season. Their key player K. Pulliam averages 11.7 points per game with efficient shooting percentages (45.2% FG, 80% FT). UTEP has a 3-2 record and has shown competitive scoring including wins with margins over 30 points and some close losses. Both teams have comparable momentum but William & Maryβs recent performances slightly edge UTEPβs.
- Historical direct matchups between William & Mary and UTEP are limited with no recent or relevant head-to-head results impacting this neutral-site game. This game represents an early-season non-conference clash with minimal direct history to draw upon.
- No current data on significant injuries for either team ahead of this matchup, suggesting both squads are near full strength going into the game.
- Neutral site in Jacksonville mitigates home-court advantage. Travel schedules are typical, with William & Mary traveling from Virginia and UTEP from Texas. Neither team benefits notably from crowd effects or extreme travel fatigue. Weather and other environmental factors indoors are standard and expected not to influence gameplay.
- Both teams are motivated to perform well in this early-season tournament setting to build competitive momentum. William & Maryβs slightly better record and recent offensive performance imply strong motivation to assert dominance, while UTEP looks to leverage physicality and defense to keep pace.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | UTEP Miners: +100, William & Mary Tribe: -120 | William & Mary Tribe to win | β β β ββ 62% |
| Spread | UTEP Miners: +1.5 -110, William & Mary Tribe: -1.5 -110 | William & Mary Tribe -1.5 | β β β ββ 58% |
| Over/under | Over: 157.5 -110, Under: 157.5 -110 | Under 157.5 | β β β ββ 54% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | William & Mary Tribe 1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 157.5 3% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 157.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
William & Mary Tribe is favored to win narrowly given their slightly better overall form and offensive efficiency, with an expected close contest at a neutral venue.
Predicted Score: William & Mary Tribe 79 – 75 UTEP Miners