Match Analysis: Southern Illinois Salukis vs UAB Blazers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-24
- Time: 6:30 PM UTC
- Location: John Hurst Adams Gymnasium, Jacksonville
Game Overview
The Southern Illinois Salukis (2-2) host the UAB Blazers (4-2) in a non-conference matchup on November 24, 2025. Southern Illinois is coming off two consecutive losses, while UAB has won three straight games and is averaging 85.4 points per game over their last five. The game is expected to be competitive, with UAB favored by 2.5 points and the total set at 163.5.
Key Factors to Consider
- UAB has shown strong offensive form, averaging 85.4 points over their last five games, and has won three straight. Southern Illinois has been inconsistent, splitting their first four games and losing their last two, including a high-scoring defeat to North Dakota State. UAB's predictive and last-10-games ratings are higher, and their away rating is slightly better than Southern Illinois's home rating.
- Recent head-to-head data is limited, but UAB has a slight edge in overall performance and momentum. Southern Illinois has struggled in recent matchups, with a record of 32-70 (46%) in their last five games.
- No significant injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates.
- UAB is playing away, but their away rating is better than Southern Illinois's home rating. The game is being played at a neutral site, which may slightly favor UAB given their stronger away performance.
- Southern Illinois is motivated to turn around their recent losing streak, while UAB is looking to extend their winning streak and maintain their offensive momentum.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Southern Illinois Salukis: 128, UAB Blazers: -154 | UAB Blazers | β β β β β 70% |
| Spread | Southern Illinois Salukis: 2.5 -110, UAB Blazers: -2.5 -110 | UAB Blazers to cover | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over: 163.5 -115, Under: 163.5 -105 | Over | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | UAB Blazers -8% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 163.5 3% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 163.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
UAB is favored to win this game due to their stronger recent performance and higher predictive ratings. The game is expected to be close, with UAB likely to cover the spread. The total is set at 163.5, and given both teams' recent scoring trends, the over is a strong possibility.
Predicted Score: UAB Blazers 77, Southern Illinois Salukis 74