Match Analysis: Washington Huskies vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-10
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Alaska Airlines Field at Husky Stadium, Seattle, WA
Game Overview
Washington (4-1) is a double-digit home favorite over Rutgers (3-2) in a matchup of two high-scoring offenses. Washington ranks 24th nationally in scoring (39.4 ppg) and 16th in per-game offense. Rutgers is 18th nationally in scoring, suggesting both teams can move the ball. Washington has a clear edge on defense, ranking 9th nationally in rush yards allowed and 39th in points allowed; Rutgers' defensive metrics are unremarkable in available data. The Huskies are 4-1 in their last five, while Rutgers is 3-2. The total is 59.5, reflecting both teams' offensive tempo and quality[1][2].
Key Factors to Consider
- Washington boasts a balanced and explosive attack (255 pass, 191 rush ypg), while Rutgers' ground game (123 rush ypg) is solid, but not elite. Washington’s defense (78 rush, 205 pass ypg allowed) is significantly stronger than Rutgers’, which gives up more yards and points. Washington’s home field edge, in Seattle, is a major factor; Huskies have gone OVER the total in 3 of last 5 overall, and 2 of last 3 at home[1].
- No direct head-to-head data available in search results; this is a rare cross-conference matchup.
- No significant injuries reported in available data.
- Forecast: 57°F, 22% rain chance, 4 mph wind. Conditions are favorable, unlikely to meaningfully tilt the game. The Huskies are at home, which is a material advantage[2].
- Washington is battling for national relevance and possible conference title contention. Rutgers is still building, likely to be outmatched on the road; however, the Scarlet Knights’ offense is capable of keeping them within two scores.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Washington Huskies -410, Rutgers Scarlet Knights +320[1][3] | Washington Huskies ML (-410) | ★★★★☆ 83% |
| Spread | Rutgers Scarlet Knights +10.5 (-110), Washington Huskies -10.5 (-110)[1][2][3] | Rutgers Scarlet Knights +10.5 (-110) | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
| Over/under | Over 59.5 (-105), Under 59.5 (-115)[1][2][3] | Over 59.5 (-105) | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Washington Huskies -2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 59.5 27% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 59.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Washington should win comfortably at home, but Rutgers’ offense will keep them inside the massive spread. Expect a relatively high-scoring affair given both teams’ recent OVER trends and offensive rankings.
Predicted Score: Washington Huskies 41, Rutgers Scarlet Knights 34
