Match Analysis: Gonzaga Bulldogs vs Maryland Terrapins – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-26
- Time: 2:30 AM UTC
- Location: MGM Grand Garden Arena, Las Vegas, NV
Game Overview
This NCAA Men’s Basketball game features the Gonzaga Bulldogs hosting the Maryland Terrapins in the semifinals of the 2025-26 Players Era Festival. Gonzaga enters unbeaten at 4-0 while Maryland stands at 3-1. Gonzaga has been dominant recently, winning by large margins with a strong defense and offense, while Maryland has shown resilience though with slightly more volatility.
Key Factors to Consider
- Gonzaga is 4-0 with convincing wins including a 90-63 over Creighton and a 122-50 demolition of Southern Utah, highlighting both scoring and defensive strength. Maryland is 3-1 with a notable recent 95-90 win over Mount St. Mary's and solid scoring averages but with a weaker defense compared to Gonzaga. Gonzaga’s balanced attack and stingy defense give them an edge.
- Historically, Gonzaga leads in the matchup with a 9-7 win record over Maryland. Recent matchups favor Gonzaga, who have been consistent winners and cover the spread more often. Maryland has lost more games head to head and often struggles against Gonzaga’s defensive setup.
- Gonzaga’s key guard Tyon Grant-Foster is out with an undisclosed injury, which could impact depth but Gonzaga’s strong bench and team depth help mitigate this. Maryland has no reported significant injuries affecting their main rotation.
- The game is held at a neutral but Gonzaga-favored venue in Las Vegas, which may mimic home conditions for Gonzaga due to fan presence. The timing and rest days favor Gonzaga as well, who have had consistent preparation.
- Both teams are motivated with a place in the tournament finals on the line, but Gonzaga’s undefeated record and home-field-like environment could increase their psychological advantage. Maryland will look to upset but faces a formidable challenge.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Gonzaga Bulldogs: -110, Maryland Terrapins: +110 | Gonzaga Bulldogs to win | ★★★★☆ 74% |
| Spread | Gonzaga Bulldogs: -13.5 -110, Maryland Terrapins: +13.5 -110 | Gonzaga Bulldogs to cover the -13.5 spread | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Over/under | Over: 155.5 -110, Under: 155.5 -110 | Under 155.5 points total | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 155.5 15% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 155.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Gonzaga Bulldogs are predicted to win, leveraging superior defense, scoring balance, and recent form, despite the minor injury concern. The confidence in a Gonzaga victory is strong given statistical dominance and home environment advantages.
Predicted Score: Gonzaga Bulldogs 82 – Maryland Terrapins 67
