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Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Ottawa Senators Prediction NHL in Ice Hockey

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Match Analysis: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Ottawa Senators – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-09
  • Time: 11:10 PM UTC
  • Location: Home – Tampa Bay Lightning

Game Overview

This NHL matchup features the Tampa Bay Lightning hosting the Ottawa Senators in an early season contest. Both teams are looking to establish momentum with the Lightning favored by odds. Tampa Bay has a stronger roster and better recent form, while Ottawa, though an improving squad, remains the underdog.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Tampa Bay Lightning are projected as favorites with -162 moneyline odds, indicating stronger overall team performance entering the season compared to the Senators at +136. Tampa Bay’s experienced core and depth give them an edge.
  • Recent head-to-head matchups historically favor Tampa Bay, who tend to control games against Ottawa, but exact recent stats for this season are unavailable. Their ability to win at home is a key factor.
  • No significant injury updates reported for either team ahead of the game, indicating both squads will likely be at near full strength.
  • No notable external factors such as travel fatigue or back-to-back games reported. The outdoor venue and weather are not factors in this indoor sport.
  • Tampa Bay, aiming for a deep playoff run, has strong motivation to start the season with wins. Ottawa, as a less favored team, may play with underdog energy but lacks the same proven playoff pedigree.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ottawa Senators: +136, Tampa Bay Lightning: -162 Tampa Bay Lightning ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Ottawa Senators +1.5: -192, Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5: +160 Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 6.5: +110, Under 6.5: -130 Under 6.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Tampa Bay Lightning 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 6.5 -3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Tampa Bay Lightning to win moneyline (-162), Tampa Bay -1.5 spread, Under 6.5 goals

Predicted Score: Tampa Bay Lightning 4 – 2 Ottawa Senators


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Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Ottawa Senators Prediction

Match Analysis: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Ottawa Senators – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-10-09 Time: 11:10 PM UTC Location: Home – Tampa Bay Lightning Game Overview This NHL matchup features the Tampa Bay Lightning hosting the Ottawa Senators in an early season contest. Both teams are looking to establish momentum with the Lightning favored by […]

Ice Hockey October 9, 2025 Ottawa Senators Tampa Bay Lightning

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Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Detroit Red Wings Prediction NHL in Ice Hockey

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Match Analysis: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Detroit Red Wings – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-13
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Game Overview

Toronto Maple Leafs will host Detroit Red Wings in the second game of their back-to-back matchups. Toronto enters with a 1-0 start after a 5-2 win against Montreal, showing strong offense and solid defense. Detroit, freshly off a 6-3 win against Toronto on October 11, are looking to capitalize on that momentum despite weaker penalty killing and recent defensive struggles.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Toronto demonstrated strong scoring depth and defensive resilience in their season opener, beating Montreal 5-2. Detroit had an impressive 6-3 win over Toronto recently, displaying offensive explosiveness but with defensive concerns especially in penalty kill (ranked 27th with 66.67%).
  • Recent H2H results are split with both teams having five wins in the last 10 meetings. However, the latest meeting on October 11 saw Detroit pull off a 6-3 victory, breaking a tight 3-3 tie late in the third period.
  • No major injury alerts reported for either side impacting key players, with both teams expected to field close to full strength rosters.
  • This game is Toronto's first home match after an away loss to Detroit, giving them motivation to respond strongly in front of home fans. Travel factor favors Toronto who remain home while Detroit are on a road trip.
  • Toronto will be keen to avenge their recent defeat and maintain a perfect season start at home. Detroit rides high on confidence from their recent win but face a tough road atmosphere and possible fatigue from travel.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Toronto -200, Detroit +160 Toronto Maple Leafs ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Toronto -1.5 +110, Detroit +1.5 -130 Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 6.5 -133, Under 6.5 +110 Under 6.5 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Toronto Maple Leafs -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Toronto Maple Leafs at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Toronto Maple Leafs to win on moneyline

Predicted Score: Toronto Maple Leafs 4 – 2 Detroit Red Wings


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Boston Bruins vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction NHL in Ice Hockey

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Match Analysis: Boston Bruins vs Tampa Bay Lightning – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-13
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: TD Garden, Boston

Game Overview

The Boston Bruins face the Tampa Bay Lightning at TD Garden in an early-season Atlantic Division showdown. Bruins start 3-0 with strong home form, while Lightning are 0-2 struggling to break through offensively.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Boston is undefeated (3-0) and has recently held strong at home, showing solid overall form. Tampa Bay is 0-2, winless, with less offensive production and some defensive questions early in the season.
  • Recent H2H trends favor Boston, with Bruins 2-1 against the spread in last 5 matchups and unbeaten against Tampa Bay on the road recently.
  • No major injuries reported for either team ahead of the game, indicating close to full strength squads.
  • Boston enjoys the home-ice advantage with full crowd support at TD Garden, while Tampa Bay faces travel and a cold start to the season combined with defensive concerns.
  • Both teams have playoff aspirations early in the season; Bruins seek to maintain perfect start and home dominance, Lightning need to respond after a slow start to avoid early standings damage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +108, away: -134 Boston Bruins ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Boston +1.5: -222, Tampa Bay -1.5: +180 Boston Bruins +1.5 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 6.5: +100, Under 6.5: -120 Over 6.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Boston Bruins 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Boston Bruins at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Boston Bruins to win on the moneyline, Boston to cover +1.5 spread, and game total over 6.5 goals.

Predicted Score: Boston Bruins 4 – 3 Tampa Bay Lightning


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Ottawa Senators vs. Nashville Predators Prediction NHL in Ice Hockey

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Match Analysis: Ottawa Senators vs Nashville Predators – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-13
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Game Overview

Ottawa Senators, playing at home, have shown superior recent form and historical dominance over the Nashville Predators. Both teams start this season with 1-0-0 records, but Ottawa demonstrated more offensive firepower and consistency in recent matchups.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ottawa Senators are coming off a strong start with a 1-0-0 record and have won 4 of the last 6 head-to-head games against Nashville. Predators are also 1-0-0 but have struggled historically in this matchup.
  • In the last 6 meetings, Ottawa won 4, including recent games where they covered the spread and won on the moneyline, indicating a favorable matchup against Nashville.
  • No specific injury reports found for either team ahead of this matchup, suggesting both sides likely to field strong lineups.
  • The game takes place at Ottawa's Canadian Tire Centre, giving the Senators home ice advantage. Public betting heavily favors Ottawa, with 100% of public bets backing them.
  • Both teams are motivated to sustain winning momentum early in the season, but Ottawa's superior recent results and home advantage increase their incentive and confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ottawa -148, Nashville +118 Ottawa Senators ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Ottawa -1.5 +180, Nashville +1.5 -222 Ottawa Senators -1.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 6.5 +105, Under 6.5 -125 Over 6.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ottawa Senators 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Ottawa Senators at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ottawa Senators to win outright on the moneyline; to cover the -1.5 puck line; and the game to go over 6.5 goals.

Predicted Score: Ottawa Senators 4 – 2 Nashville Predators


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New York Islanders vs. Winnipeg Jets Prediction NHL in Ice Hockey

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Match Analysis: New York Islanders vs Winnipeg Jets – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-13
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: UBS Arena, Belmont Park, NY

Game Overview

The New York Islanders host the Winnipeg Jets in an early season NHL matchup where the Jets enter 1-1-0 and the Islanders are 0-2-0. The Islanders are underdogs at home but have recent H2H edge.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Islanders have started the season 0-2, struggling offensively and failing to cover the spread in recent games. Jets are 1-1 but have shown balanced scoring and a slightly better defense.
  • New York has won 4 of the last 6 meetings with Winnipeg including a recent 3-2 win on March 4, 2025. Islanders have covered the spread recently against the Jets.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team entering this matchup, suggesting both can field near full strength lineups.
  • The game is played at UBS Arena, giving Islanders home-ice advantage; however, the current form strongly favors the Jets.
  • Early season games like this are essential for momentum. Islanders need a win to avoid a 0-3 start at home, providing motivation. Jets aim to maintain a winning record on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline New York Islanders: -127, Winnipeg Jets: +102 Winnipeg Jets ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Jets +1.5: -263, Islanders -1.5: +210 Jets +1.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 5.5: -132, Under 5.5: +110 Under 5.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Winnipeg Jets 11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Winnipeg Jets at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Winnipeg Jets to win moneyline; Jets +1.5 on spread; Under 5.5 goals total

Predicted Score: Winnipeg Jets 3 – 2 New York Islanders


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Buffalo Sabres vs. Colorado Avalanche Prediction NHL in Ice Hockey

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Match Analysis: Buffalo Sabres vs Colorado Avalanche – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-13
  • Time: 4:30 PM UTC
  • Location: KeyBank Center, Buffalo, New York

Game Overview

The Colorado Avalanche, fresh with a 2-0-1 record, visit the struggling Buffalo Sabres, who are 0-2-0 and have yet to win this season. Colorado is favored at -165 on the moneyline with a -1.5 puck line, while Buffalo is an underdog at +133 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the spread. The total is set around 6.5 goals.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Colorado Avalanche have started strong with a 2-0-1 record, showing consistent form both offensively and defensively. Buffalo Sabres have struggled, losing their opening two games and failing to cover spreads. Sabres' offense has shown limitations and their defense has been vulnerable.
  • Recent head-to-head matchups favor Colorado with most games won and many covers against Buffalo especially in recent seasons. The Avalanche consistently perform well against the Sabres at both home and away venues.
  • No major injuries reported for either team ahead of this game, indicating both teams should be close to full strength.
  • The home-ice advantage favors Buffalo, but given their poor start and Colorado’s momentum, the effect is somewhat muted. Public betting heavily favors Buffalo bets but seems skewed due to lack of confidence in Sabres' capability.
  • Colorado looks motivated to maintain their unbeaten start and push their early season momentum while Buffalo is fighting to avoid an 0-3 season start, which could affect confidence negatively.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Buffalo Sabres: +133, Colorado Avalanche: -165 Colorado Avalanche ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Buffalo Sabres +1.5: -222, Colorado Avalanche -1.5: +180 Colorado Avalanche -1.5 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 6.5: -116, Under 6.5: -105 Under 6.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Colorado Avalanche -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Colorado Avalanche at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Colorado Avalanche to win; Spread: Colorado Avalanche -1.5; Over/Under: Under 6.5 goals

Predicted Score: Colorado Avalanche 4 – 2 Buffalo Sabres


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New York Rangers vs. Washington Capitals Prediction NHL in Ice Hockey

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Match Analysis: New York Rangers vs Washington Capitals – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-12
  • Time: 11:10 PM UTC
  • Location: Madison Square Garden, New York City

Game Overview

The New York Rangers host the Washington Capitals in a challenging NHL matchup featuring teams with contrasting recent defensive performances. Both teams have played recently, rendering fatigue and strategic adjustments important factors.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Rangers are in strong form, holding a 2-1 record, averaging 3.33 goals per game and allowing just 1.33 goals against, demonstrating elite defensive efficiency and a perfect penalty kill rate. The Capitals stand at 1-1, averaging 2.50 goals for and against, with somewhat less defensive stability.
  • The Rangers have won five of their last six home games against the Capitals and have also covered the puck line in five of six recent Eastern Conference night games. The Capitals have struggled as road underdogs versus division rivals lately and have lost four straight second games in back-to-backs against the Rangers.
  • No significant injuries reported that would materially impact key players for either team in this matchup.
  • Both teams are playing the second leg of a back-to-back, which can lead to fatigue and potentially higher scoring due to defensive lapses. The game is at the Rangers’ home venue, Madison Square Garden.
  • The Rangers have demonstrated strong motivation with recent wins and historical dominance against Capitals at home. The Capitals may have fatigue issues after consecutive games and recent struggles on the road against Metropolitan rivals.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Rangers: -108, Capitals: -112 Rangers ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Rangers -1.5: -285, Capitals +1.5: 230 Rangers -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 5.5: -135, Under 5.5: 114 Over 5.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New York Rangers 10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 5.5 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: New York Rangers at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Rangers moneyline, Rangers -1.5 spread, Over 5.5 goals

Predicted Score: Rangers 4 – Capitals 2


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Iowa Wild vs. Rockford IceHogs Prediction AHL in Ice Hockey

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Match Analysis: Iowa Wild vs Rockford IceHogs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-12
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Iowa Wild Home Arena

Game Overview

This AHL matchup features the Iowa Wild hosting the Rockford IceHogs. Recent trends show Rockford performing strongly against the spread, particularly with the +1.5 handicap, while Iowa has struggled in recent form. The total goals line is set at 5.5, reflecting a moderate expectation for scoring.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Rockford IceHogs have won 7 of their last 8 games against Iowa when given a +1.5 spread, including the last 5 away games. Iowa Wild's recent form is weaker with multiple losses in their latest fixtures.
  • Historically close with 108 encounters, home team (Iowa) has 54 wins and away team (Rockford) 49. Rockford tends to cover the +1.5 spread consistently against Iowa.
  • No major injury reports publicly available for either team impacting key players as of the match date.
  • The game is played at Iowa's home venue but Rockford's recent strong performance on the road minimizes typical home advantage.
  • Rockford’s solid recent performance and ability to cover spreads suggest strong motivation to maintain competitive edge. Iowa needs a turnaround after poor recent results but motivation alone seems insufficient to overcome Rockford's recent dominance.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -145, away: +110 Rockford IceHogs ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread home_-1.5: +185, away_+1.5: -250 Rockford IceHogs +1.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under over_5.5: -105, under_5.5: -125 Under 5.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Iowa Wild 16%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 5.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Iowa Wild at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Pick Rockford IceHogs on the moneyline for an upset win, bet Rockford +1.5 on the spread, and the game to go Under 5.5 total goals.

Predicted Score: Rockford IceHogs 3 – 2 Iowa Wild


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Ontario Reign vs. Tucson Roadrunners Prediction AHL in Ice Hockey

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Match Analysis: Ontario Reign vs Tucson Roadrunners – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-12
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Ontario Reign Home Arena

Game Overview

A tightly contested AHL matchup between Ontario Reign and Tucson Roadrunners, with no clear favorite based on odds and recent performances. Both teams have competitive recent form and closely matched head-to-head stats.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ontario Reign has won 4 of their last 10 games, Tucson Roadrunners show similar form. Recent meetings have been close, including a 5-4 win for Tucson in their last matchup on Ontario ice.
  • In 90 meetings, Ontario leads narrowly with 46 wins to Tucson's 43. The average total goals is high at 6.35, but recent home games have leaned toward lower scoring with 7 of last 8 under 5.5 goals.
  • Secondary players are expected to be involved for Ontario, potentially affecting their usual gameplay rhythm. There are no major injury reports indicating key player absences on either side.
  • Game played at Ontario’s home arena may slightly favor their comfort and tactics. No unusual travel or schedule congestion is reported.
  • Both teams appear equally motivated; recent close results and rivalry elevate the intensity of the match.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ontario Reign: -125, Tucson Roadrunners: -105 Ontario Reign ★★★☆☆ 63%
Spread Ontario Reign: +200 (for -1.5), Tucson Roadrunners: -275 (for +1.5) Tucson Roadrunners +1.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 5.5: -130, Under 5.5: +100 Under 5.5 ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ontario Reign -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 5.5 24%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 5.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ontario Reign to win moneyline; Tucson Roadrunners +1.5 spread; Under 5.5 total goals

Predicted Score: Ontario Reign 3 – 2 Tucson Roadrunners


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Providence Bruins vs. Charlotte Checkers Prediction AHL in Ice Hockey

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Match Analysis: Providence Bruins vs Charlotte Checkers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-12
  • Time: 7:05 PM UTC
  • Location: Moran Family Arena, Providence, RI

Game Overview

Season home opener for Providence Bruins against Charlotte Checkers, a rivalry renewed from last year's Atlantic Division semifinals. Both teams started the season with one game played; Providence traveled away to Bridgeport for the opener, Charlotte won their opener against Springfield.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Providence Bruins have strong home advantage and have been consistent playoff contenders historically. Charlotte Checkers had a positive start with a win away but have not yet played on the road this season.
  • Last season, the Bruins and Checkers met in the Atlantic Division semifinals, with competitive games indicating a close matchup. They will meet four times this season, adding rivalry motivation.
  • No major injuries reported for either team ahead of this game, both squads are expected to field their standard lineups for the home opener.
  • The Bruins enjoy home ice opening night conditions and fan support; also a relatively short travel for Checkers but no weather or other external disruptions reported.
  • High motivation for Providence Bruins to start strong at home and set the tone for the season. Charlotte aims to build momentum with a potential early road victory.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Charlotte Checkers: -105, Providence Bruins: -125 Providence Bruins ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Charlotte Checkers +1.5: -285, Providence Bruins -1.5: 210 Providence Bruins -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 5.5: -105, Under 5.5: -125 Under 5.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Providence Bruins 4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 5.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Providence Bruins at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Providence Bruins to win moneyline, cover -1.5 spread, and the game to go under 5.5 total goals.

Predicted Score: 3-1


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