Match Analysis: Kansas Jayhawks vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-24
- Time: 8:30 PM UTC
- Location: MGM Grand Garden Arena, Las Vegas
Game Overview
The Kansas Jayhawks (3-2) face off against the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (4-1) in a high-profile NCAA basketball matchup taking place at a neutral site in Las Vegas. Despite being a neutral venue, betting markets and trends treat Kansas as the home side largely due to venue familiarity and seeding advantages. Both teams have shown offensive capability, but recent trends, records, and playing styles suggest a close, competitive game with potential for a moderately high-scoring contest.
Key Factors to Consider
- Notre Dame boasts a stronger recent record (4-1) versus Kansas' 3-2, with better ATS (against the spread) performance and consistent offensive scoring, including multiple games exceeding totals. Kansas has struggled with consistency, showing defensive vulnerabilities especially on the road and in recent losses.
- The head-to-head history shows relatively balanced competition with a slight edge in wins for Notre Dame in recent years. Both teams have competitive familiarity but limited direct recent contests to decisively favor one side.
- No significant injury reports are highlighted for either team before the game, suggesting both will likely feature their top rotations at full strength.
- The neutral venue may slightly reduce home court advantage for Kansas but also provides a big-stage atmosphere. Public betting is split 50/50 between both teams, indicating evenly matched betting interest and market confidence.
- Notre Dame has displayed momentum coming off a 4-1 run, motivating them to keep their form against a prestigious program like Kansas. Kansas, typically a high-profile contender, will look to establish early season dominance, leveraging experience and depth.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Kansas_Jayhawks: 1.32, Notre_Dame_Fighting_Irish: 3.3 | Kansas Jayhawks moneyline win | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Kansas_Jayhawks: -6.5 -110, Notre_Dame_Fighting_Irish: +6.5 -110 | Kansas to cover the spread of -6.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over: 142.5 -110, Under: 142.5 -110 | Over 142.5 points | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 142.5 5% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 142.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Kansas Jayhawks to win by a narrow margin, covering the spread of -6.5. The game is expected to be competitive, with total points likely to push over 142.5 given both teams' offensive tendencies and recent over trends.
Predicted Score: Kansas Jayhawks 75 – 68 Notre Dame Fighting Irish