Match Analysis: Creighton Bluejays vs Baylor Bears – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-24
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Michelob ULTRA Arena, Paradise, NV
Game Overview
The Creighton Bluejays (2-1) face the Baylor Bears (3-0) in an NCAA basketball matchup at a neutral venue in Paradise, NV. Baylor enters as a slight favorite with a 4.5-point spread and a total over/under set at 153.5 points.
Key Factors to Consider
- Baylor is undefeated at 3-0, showing strong home performance with victories over UTRGV, Washington, and Tarleton State by double digits. Creighton holds a 2-1 record, with significant wins including 84-45 over Maryland Eastern Shore but suffered a heavy 27-point loss to Gonzaga, indicating some inconsistency.
- Recent direct matchups data is limited, but Baylorβs recent undefeated streak and home dominance suggest an edge. Both teams have competitive records in the seasonβs early stage, but Baylorβs margin of victories tends to be larger.
- No significant injury reports are available for either team ahead of this matchup, suggesting both squads will likely compete at full strength.
- Playing at a neutral venue in Paradise, NV, may slightly reduce home advantage factors. The game being televised on truTV ensures wide viewership, possibly increasing player motivation. The spread and totals show evenly matched betting interest.
- Baylor aims to maintain its perfect record and home dominance, providing strong motivation. Creighton, coming off a strong win and a loss, will look to prove themselves against a favored team to build confidence early in the season.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Baylor Bears: -188, Creighton Bluejays: +155 | Baylor Bears to win | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | Baylor Bears -4.5: -110, Creighton Bluejays +4.5: -110 | Baylor Bears -4.5 | β β β ββ 62% |
| Over/under | Over 153.5: -110, Under 153.5: -110 | Over 153.5 points | β β β ββ 57% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 153.5 3% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 153.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Baylor Bears are predicted to win the game by covering the 4.5-point spread, leveraging their undefeated momentum and stronger overall performance metrics.
Predicted Score: Baylor Bears 80 – 74 Creighton Bluejays