Match Analysis: Evansville Purple Aces vs Akron Zips – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-24
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: St. Thomas, US Virgin Islands (Neutral Site)
Game Overview
The Akron Zips (4-1) face the Evansville Purple Aces (3-3) in a college basketball matchup at a neutral venue in St. Thomas. Akron enters as a heavy favorite, coming off a commanding 96-75 win over Iona, while Evansville is riding momentum from a close road win against Oregon State. Akron boasts a strong offensive performance this season, averaging 94.6 PPG, compared to Evansville's 73.3 PPG. The game features contrasting styles, with Akron's efficient shooting and defense favored over Evansville's recent inconsistent form.
Key Factors to Consider
- Akron has a 4-1 record, dominating opponents with high scoring margins, including a 21-point win in their last game. Evansville is 3-3, splitting wins and losses with recent success against Oregon State but significant losses against stronger teams. Akron's offensive efficiency (47.8% FG, 43% 3PT) and defensive prowess give them a clear edge over Evansville's lower shooting percentages and defense.
- Akron won the last matchup between these teams 69-60. Historically, Akron maintains dominance with a better overall record and recent head-to-head success.
- No significant injury reports or absences were noted for either team in the available data.
- The game is played at a neutral site in the US Virgin Islands, removing home advantage for either team. Akron has shown good adaptability to neutral venues in past performances. No weather or travel disruptions reported.
- Akron looks to maintain its winning momentum and establish dominance early in the season, while Evansville aims to prove competitiveness by covering the spread as underdogs. Evansville's recent win may boost confidence, but Akron's strong start should keep motivation high to avoid an upset.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Akron Zips: -1250, Evansville Purple Aces: 740 | Akron Zips to win | β β β β β 93% |
| Spread | Akron Zips: -13.5 -108, Evansville Purple Aces: +13.5 -112 | Akron Zips to cover -13.5 | β β β β β 85% |
| Over/under | Over: 155.5 -115, Under: 155.5 -105 | Under 155.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Evansville Purple Aces 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 155.5 27% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 155.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Akron Zips are projected to win decisively, leveraging superior offensive and defensive efficiency. A likely straight win and cover of the -13.5 spread is expected, with moderate to high confidence given current form and odds.
Predicted Score: Akron Zips 85 – Evansville Purple Aces 70