Match Analysis: UNC Greensboro Spartans vs Youngstown St Penguins – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-23
- Time: 10:30 PM UTC
- Location: Adams-Jenkins Sports Complex, Jacksonville, FL
Game Overview
The Youngstown State Penguins face off against the UNC Greensboro Spartans in a non-conference NCAAB matchup. Youngstown State enters with a 2-3 record, while UNC Greensboro is winless at 0-5. The game is being played at a neutral site, which may slightly reduce home-court advantages. Both teams are looking to build momentum early in the season, with Youngstown State favored by 5.5 points.
Key Factors to Consider
- Youngstown State averages 83.8 points per game (121st in D1) and shoots 47.4% from the field, including 37.2% from three-point range. They have shown offensive consistency but have struggled defensively, allowing 76.8 points per game. UNC Greensboro is ranked 339th in field goal percentage (39.6%) and 359th in points allowed (91.0 per game), indicating significant offensive and defensive struggles. The Spartans have lost all five games by double digits, including a 110-64 defeat to NC State. They average only 70.3 points per game and commit 18.8 fouls per contest.
- There is no recent head-to-head history between these two teams, making this matchup a fresh encounter with no direct rivalry or psychological edge.
- No significant injuries have been reported for either team as of the latest updates.
- The game is being played at a neutral site (Adams-Jenkins Sports Complex), which may slightly reduce any home-court advantage for UNC Greensboro. The venue is not a traditional home for either team, so crowd support may be limited.
- Youngstown State is looking to build on a modest start and improve their record, while UNC Greensboro is desperate for their first win of the season. The Spartans' lack of confidence after five consecutive losses could impact their performance, while Youngstown State may be more motivated to capitalize on their opponent's struggles.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | UNC Greensboro Spartans: 220, Youngstown St Penguins: -275 | Youngstown St Penguins | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | UNC Greensboro Spartans: 5.5 -110, Youngstown St Penguins: -5.5 -110 | Youngstown St Penguins -5.5 | β β β β β 75% |
| Over/under | Over: 155.5 -115, Under: 155.5 -105 | Over 155.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Youngstown St Penguins -6% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 155.5 8% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 155.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Youngstown State is expected to win this game by a comfortable margin, likely covering the 5.5-point spread. UNC Greensboro's offensive inefficiency and defensive vulnerabilities make it difficult for them to compete with Youngstown State's more balanced attack. The game is likely to be decided by double digits, with Youngstown State's superior shooting and scoring ability proving decisive.
Predicted Score: Youngstown State 88, UNC Greensboro 70