Match Analysis: Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs Tenn-Martin Skyhawks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-23
- Time: 9:30 PM UTC
- Location: Pensacola Bay Center, Pensacola, FL
Game Overview
The Southern Miss Golden Eagles host the Tenn-Martin Skyhawks in the championship game of the 2025 Pensacola Invitational. Tenn-Martin enters with a strong 4-1 record while Southern Miss is at 3-3. Tenn-Martin is favored based on recent form and statistical advantages on both offense and defense.
Key Factors to Consider
- Tenn-Martin has a 4-1 start with solid defense and balanced scoring; their last game was a narrow 1-point victory. Southern Miss is 3-3 overall, currently on a 2-game winning streak but has defensive vulnerabilities, allowing an average of 73.7 points per game and 83 points in their last outing. Isaac Taveras leads Southern Miss offensively with 20.2 PPG and 7.6 RPG.
- No recent direct head-to-head history available for 2025 season, but Tenn-Martin is currently perceived as the stronger team based on overall form and matchup dynamics.
- No specific injury reports or updates currently available for either team, indicating likely full rosters.
- The game is a tournament championship setting, potentially boosting motivations. Playing in Pensacola Bay Center possibly neutral, but Southern Miss is the nominal home team. Public betting heavily favors Southern Miss (100% bets) despite Tenn-Martinβs better form.
- Tenn-Martin aims to clinch the Invitational championship and prove superiority against a home-standing Southern Miss, who seeks to capitalize on home advantage and recent winning momentum.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Southern Miss Golden Eagles: -102, Tenn-Martin Skyhawks: -118 | Tenn-Martin Skyhawks win | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | Southern Miss Golden Eagles: -1.5 -120, Tenn-Martin Skyhawks: +1.5 -102 | Tenn-Martin Skyhawks +1.5 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over 150.5: -115, Under 150.5: -105 | Under 150.5 points | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Tenn-Martin Skyhawks -2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 150.5 17% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 150.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Tenn-Martin Skyhawks are predicted to win and cover the spread due to better defensive and offensive balance combined with momentum and projected game control.
Predicted Score: Tenn-Martin Skyhawks 74 – Southern Miss Golden Eagles 61