Match Analysis: Xavier Musketeers vs West Virginia Mountaineers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-23
- Time: 8:30 PM UTC
- Location: TD Arena, Charleston, SC
Game Overview
The West Virginia Mountaineers (5-1) face the Xavier Musketeers (3-3) in the Shriners Children's Charleston Classic. West Virginia enters the game off a narrow loss to Clemson, while Xavier has dropped three of its last four, including a one-point defeat to Georgia. Both teams are seeking momentum in a competitive non-conference matchup.
Key Factors to Consider
- West Virginia has shown strong offensive and defensive balance, led by H. Huff (17.2 PPG, 42.4% FG, 81.6% FT). Xavier has struggled recently, averaging 15.7 PPG from T. Carroll but has been inconsistent, especially on defense. West Virginiaβs depth and rebounding edge (Messina-Moore leads with 4 RPG) give them a clear advantage.
- Recent head-to-head matchups are limited, but West Virginia has generally outperformed Xavier in recent years, especially in neutral-site games. No direct prior meeting in 2025.
- No major injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates.
- The game is played at a neutral site (TD Arena, Charleston, SC), which may slightly favor West Virginia due to their stronger road record and experience in tournament settings.
- West Virginia is motivated to salvage their trip to South Carolina after a close loss to Clemson. Xavier is looking to rebound from a tough stretch and prove their competitiveness in the tournament.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | West Virginia Mountaineers: -315, Xavier Musketeers: 250 | West Virginia Mountaineers | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | West Virginia Mountaineers: -6.5, Xavier Musketeers: 6.5 | West Virginia Mountaineers -6.5 | β β β β β 78% |
| Over/under | Over: 140.5, Under: 140.5 | Under 140.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | West Virginia Mountaineers -5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 140.5 34% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 140.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
West Virginia is favored to win and cover the spread. Their superior team depth, recent form, and defensive consistency make them the likely victors. The game is expected to be competitive, but West Virginiaβs experience and talent should prevail.
Predicted Score: West Virginia 75, Xavier 62