Match Analysis: Virginia Cavaliers vs Butler Bulldogs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-23
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Colonial Hall, White Sulphur Springs, West Virginia
Game Overview
The Virginia Cavaliers (5-0) host the Butler Bulldogs (4-1) in a non-conference NCAAB game at Colonial Hall. Virginia is unbeaten with strong defense and a home winning streak, while Butler has recently recorded a high-profile rebound-dominant win and is favored by many analysts to keep this game competitive.
Key Factors to Consider
- Virginia holds a perfect 5-0 record averaging 122 points per game and has a dominant defense allowing only 324 points total. Butler is 4-1, averaging 99 points per game and coming off a major rebound victory against South Carolina.
- No direct recent head-to-head data in current results, but Virginia's home dominance (5-0) and superior defensive record suggest the edge.
- No significant injury reports for either team available from current data.
- The game is part of the Greenbrier Tip-Off tournament at a neutral venue resembling a home environment for Virginia. No weather or travel concerns noted.
- Virginia aims to extend a home winning streak to six games and maintain undefeated status. Butler is motivated to prove competitiveness by covering the spread and continuing their positive momentum from prior wins.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Butler Bulldogs: 260, Virginia Cavaliers: -330 | Virginia Cavaliers to win | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | Butler Bulldogs: 6.5 -102, Virginia Cavaliers: -6.5 -120 | Virginia to cover -6.5 spread | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over: 154.5 -110, Under: 154.5 -110 | Under 154.5 points | β β β ββ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Virginia Cavaliers -15% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 154.5 5% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 154.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Virginia Cavaliers are predicted to win and cover the spread. Despite Butler's strong efforts, Virginia's defense and home advantage provide a solid edge.
Predicted Score: Virginia Cavaliers 80 – Butler Bulldogs 71