Match Analysis: Columbia Lions vs Longwood Lancers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-23
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Columbia University (Home for Columbia Lions)
Game Overview
The Columbia Lions host the Longwood Lancers in an NCAA Men's Basketball game. Both teams have a relatively sparse recent head-to-head history, with their last recorded close matchup being Longwood 70 – 69 Columbia in 2015. Columbia has demonstrated solid recent form with several wins, including a strong away win over Lehigh (82-67) and back-to-back victories, while Longwood's recent results have been mixed. Columbia is favored to win at home.
Key Factors to Consider
- Columbia has shown a resilient defensive style, holding recent opponents to under 70 points in multiple games, while scoring consistently in the mid-70s to 80s. Longwood's form is less consistent with some close losses and wins but generally scoring in the mid-60s to 70s range. Columbia's recent streak of wins and solid defense suggest an edge in performance.
- The teams have not met in the last several seasons with only a couple of head-to-head games since 2002. The last game was in 2015 when Longwood narrowly beat Columbia 70-69. Overall, limited recent H2H data makes direct matchup insights sparse.
- No significant injury information reported for either team in the sources available.
- The game is played at Columbia's home venue, which provides a home-court advantage. No reported external disruptions or notable weather impacts as it is an indoor basketball game.
- Columbia aims to continue their positive start to the season and leverage home advantage. Longwood, as underdogs, will be motivated to upset a favored opponent and improve their competitive standing early in the season.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Columbia Lions: -200, Longwood Lancers: 160 | Columbia Lions win | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Columbia Lions: -4.5 -110, Longwood Lancers: +4.5 -110 | Columbia Lions -4.5 cover | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over: 151.5 -112, Under: 151.5 -112 | Under 151.5 points | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Columbia Lions 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 151.5 14% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 151.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Columbia Lions are predicted to win the game by a close margin leveraging home court advantage and stronger recent performances.
Predicted Score: Columbia Lions 77 – 70 Longwood Lancers