Match Analysis: Tenn-Martin Skyhawks vs Prairie View Panthers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-22
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: Pensacola Bay Center, Pensacola, FL, USA
Game Overview
The Pensacola Invitational semifinal features the UT Martin Skyhawks (3-1) against the Prairie View A&M Panthers (2-3). Both teams are coming off losses in their previous outings, with UT Martin losing 87-73 at Florida State and Prairie View falling 91-73 at Missouri. The game is played at a neutral site, adding an extra layer of intrigue. The matchup pits UT Martinβs strong offensive output (averaging 83.5 PPG) against Prairie Viewβs defensive struggles (allowing 96 PPG in their last three games).
Key Factors to Consider
- UT Martin has shown offensive consistency, averaging 83.5 points per game and scoring over 78 in all wins. Their defense has allowed 69.3 PPG, but they struggled against Florida State. Prairie View has scored 97, 86, and 78 in their wins but allowed 91, 105, and 91 in their losses. Their defense has been porous, especially in recent games, giving up 96 PPG in their last three outings. Both teams have played tough non-conference schedules, with UT Martin facing ranked opponents and Prairie View struggling against power conference teams.
- Prairie View won the last meeting 78-66 in November 2023. The Panthers have a slight edge in the series, but this is a neutral-site rematch with both teams having new rosters and coaching staffs. The historical edge is minimal given the time and roster changes.
- No major injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates. Both squads are expected to field their full lineups.
- The game is played at a neutral site (Pensacola Bay Center), which removes any home-court advantage. The Pensacola Invitational is a multi-team event, so both teams are motivated to advance and build momentum for the rest of the season. The neutral site could favor the team that adapts better to the environment and crowd.
- Both teams are coming off losses and are looking to bounce back. UT Martin is seeking to prove they can compete with strong competition, while Prairie View wants to end a three-game losing streak. The winner will advance in the tournament, adding extra incentive.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Prairie View Panthers: 330, Tenn-Martin Skyhawks: -430 | Tenn-Martin Skyhawks | Not available |
| Spread | Prairie View Panthers: 8.5 -110, Tenn-Martin Skyhawks: -8.5 -110 | Tenn-Martin Skyhawks -8.5 | Not available |
| Over/under | Over: 155.5 -115, Under: 155.5 -105 | Over 155.5 | Not available |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Tenn-Martin Skyhawks -99% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 155.5 -99% |
β οΈ No clear +EV edge found for this game.
Predicted Outcome
UT Martin is favored due to their offensive consistency and Prairie Viewβs defensive struggles. The Skyhawks are likely to control the pace and exploit the Panthersβ weak defense. However, Prairie Viewβs ability to score in bunches could keep the game close. The most likely outcome is a UT Martin victory by 8-12 points, with the total points landing near the over/under line.
Predicted Score: UT Martin 82, Prairie View 74