Match Analysis: Niagara Purple Eagles vs Howard Bison – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-22
- Time: 9:00 PM UTC
- Location: Cameron Indoor Stadium, Durham, NC
Game Overview
The Niagara Purple Eagles and Howard Bison both enter this late November 2025 NCAA basketball matchup with similar season records (Niagara 2-2, Howard 2-3). The game will be played at a neutral site, Cameron Indoor Stadium. Howard is slight favorite in the moneyline and spread despite having a slightly worse record. The teams have comparable offensive production but differ in shooting efficiency and turnover rates.
Key Factors to Consider
- Niagara Purple Eagles average 66.5 points per game, shooting 43.5% overall and 37.8% from three, showing decent outside shooting but a lower scoring rank (340th nationally). Howard Bison average 74.4 points per game on 46.4% shooting, with a higher free throw percentage (75%) and more rebounds per game (32.6), indicating greater offensive efficiency and inside presence. However, Howard commits nearly 20 personal fouls and turns the ball over 14 times per game, which could be a liability.
- No recent direct head-to-head matchup data is available for this season's meeting, limiting direct comparative insights.
- No specific injuries reported for either team affecting key players at this time.
- The game is held in Durham, NC at a neutral but relatively close site for Howard. Niagara travels approximately 491 miles, which could introduce slight fatigue or travel-related disadvantage.
- Both teams are looking to improve early-season records. Howard's slightly worse record (2-3) may increase motivation to prove themselves against a similar 2-2 Niagara team, potentially favoring Howardβs urgency.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Howard Bison: -168, Niagara Purple Eagles: 136 | Howard Bison | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Howard Bison: -3.5 -102, Niagara Purple Eagles: +3.5 -120 | Howard Bison -3.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 145.5: -110, Under 145.5: -114 | Under 145.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Niagara Purple Eagles -4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 145.5 -2% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 145.5 at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given Howardβs better offensive efficiency, rebounding advantage, and home-region proximity, Howard Bison are favored to win this matchup, likely keeping the spread and staying under the moderately set total points line.
Predicted Score: Howard Bison 74 – Niagara Purple Eagles 69