Match Analysis: CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners vs Miss Valley St Delta Devils – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-22
- Time: 9:00 PM UTC
- Location: Icardo Center, Bakersfield, CA
Game Overview
The CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners (2-3) host the Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils (1-5), who are looking to end a four-game losing streak. Bakersfield is a heavy favorite with a strong home record (2-0), while Mississippi Valley State has struggled on the road (0-3). The combined points total is projected around 140.5, indicating a moderately high scoring game.
Key Factors to Consider
- CSU Bakersfield averages 71.4 points per game and allows 76.2 points, showing moderate offensive and defensive capabilities. Mississippi Valley State averages 69.3 points but concedes 87.3 points per game, the worst defensive record between the two. Bakersfield also has better shooting percentages (42.1% FG) and rebounding (37.4 RPG) compared to Mississippi Valley State (40.8% FG and 33.0 RPG).
- Recent head-to-head data is limited, but historical performance and current season form suggest dominance by CSU Bakersfield, especially at home.
- No significant injury updates are available, suggesting both teams will likely play near full-strength rosters.
- The game is played at CSU Bakersfield's home venue, which is a positive factor for the Roadrunners. Public betting trends strongly favor Bakersfield, with 100% moneyline support indicating heavy confidence in their victory.
- Mississippi Valley State is motivated to break their losing streak, which might enhance their defensive effort. However, confidence is low given their road struggles. CSU Bakersfield aims to consolidate a stronger season start and leverage home support.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners: -10000, Miss Valley St Delta Devils: 2200 | CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners win | β β β β β 95% |
| Spread | CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners: -23.5 -110, Miss Valley St Delta Devils: +23.5 -110 | Miss Valley St Delta Devils +23.5 (against the spread) | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 140.5: -110, Under 140.5: -110 | Over 140.5 points | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners -9% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 140.5 18% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 140.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
CSU Bakersfield is strongly favored to win outright by a large margin due to superior defense, home advantage, and team form. The prediction favors Bakersfield covering the heavy spread and the game likely going over the total points line.
Predicted Score: CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners 80 – 58 Miss Valley St Delta Devils