Match Analysis: Saint Peter's Peacocks vs UMass Lowell River Hawks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-22
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: The Victor R. Yanitelli, S.J. Recreational Life Center, Jersey City, NJ
Game Overview
Saint Peter's Peacocks host UMass Lowell River Hawks in a non-conference matchup. Both teams are coming off losses in their previous games, with Saint Peter's at 1-3 and UMass Lowell at 1-5. The Peacocks are starting a four-game homestand, while the River Hawks are winless on the road this season. The game is expected to be a defensive battle, with both teams averaging under 70 points per game this season.
Key Factors to Consider
- Saint Peter's is averaging 66 points per game (13th-worst in college basketball) and allowing 65.8 points per game (27th-best). UMass Lowell is allowing 74.1 points per game and is shooting 44.0% from the field and 33.6% from three-point range. The River Hawks are 0-4 on the road and have faced a tough schedule, including losses to UConn, Wake Forest, and Bradley. Saint Peter's is 1-0 at home this season.
- The teams have met twice in the last two seasons, with UMass Lowell winning both games (69-61 in 2023 and 81-74 in 2024). Both previous meetings were close, with Saint Peter's covering the spread in the 2024 game. The total has gone over in both previous meetings.
- No major injuries reported for either team.
- Saint Peter's is starting a four-game homestand, which may provide a boost in motivation and crowd support. UMass Lowell is on a five-game losing streak and is still seeking its first road win of the season.
- Saint Peter's is looking for its first-ever win over UMass Lowell and wants to start its homestand on a positive note. UMass Lowell is motivated to break its losing streak and secure its first road victory.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Saint Peter's Peacocks: -300, UMass Lowell River Hawks: 240 | Saint Peter's Peacocks | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Saint Peter's Peacocks: -7.5 -105, UMass Lowell River Hawks: 7.5 -115 | Saint Peter's Peacocks -7.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over: 153.5 -110, Under: 153.5 -110 | Over 153.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Saint Peter's Peacocks -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 153.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 153.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Saint Peter's is favored to win this game, given their home advantage, recent form, and UMass Lowell's struggles on the road. The game is expected to be close, with Saint Peter's likely to cover the spread. The total is likely to go over, as both teams have allowed more points than they have scored this season.
Predicted Score: Saint Peter's Peacocks 76, UMass Lowell River Hawks 72