Match Analysis: Illinois Fighting Illini vs LIU Sharks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-22
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: State Farm Center, Champaign, Illinois
Game Overview
The Illinois Fighting Illini (4-1) host the LIU Sharks (3-2) in an NCAA men's basketball game. Illinois is heavily favored due to superior team performance, size, depth, and basketball efficiency. The LIU Sharks have scoring talent but struggle defensively and have experienced inconsistency recently. The game is expected to be dominated by Illinois in both scoring and control.
Key Factors to Consider
- Illinois is 4-1 overall and undefeated at home (4-0), showing strong offensive and defensive stats, including a solid recent win against FGCU 113-70. LIU is 3-2, averaging 81.3 points per game but allowing nearly 80 points on defense with defensive weaknesses. Illinois has better size, rebounding, and depth at all positions.
- No direct recent head-to-head data available, but Illinois is a top-ranked team and a big favorite, indicating historical superiority and matchup advantage.
- LIU's guard A.J. Neal is out for the season due to a redshirt; Illinois has no reported injuries affecting key players.
- Illinois is playing at home in a supportive environment at the State Farm Center. Time zone and travel advantage favor Illinois as LIU is the visiting team.
- Illinois aims to maintain their strong start and justify top billing in the Big Ten conference. LIU seeks to rebound from recent losses and prove competitiveness against a high-profile opponent.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Illinois: -10000, LIU: 3300 | Illinois Fighting Illini win | β β β β β 98% |
| Spread | Illinois: -34.5 -110, LIU: +34.5 -110 | Illinois Fighting Illini to cover -34.5 spread | β β β β β 90% |
| Over/under | Over: 162.5 -110, Under: 162.5 -110 | Under 162.5 total points | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Illinois Fighting Illini -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 162.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 162.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Illinois Fighting Illini are expected to win comfortably, cover the large spread, and the total points scored will likely stay under 162.5.
Predicted Score: Illinois Fighting Illini 96 – LIU Sharks 74