Match Analysis: Harvard Crimson vs Boston Univ. Terriers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-22
- Time: 6:30 PM UTC
- Location: Harvard Crimson Home Court (Cambridge, MA)
Game Overview
The upcoming NCAA match features the Harvard Crimson hosting the Boston University Terriers. Harvard enters favored on the moneyline with odds of -210 compared to Boston University's +172. The spread is set at Harvard -3.5 and Boston University +3.5, while the over/under totals 137.5 points. Both teams have mixed recent performances but Harvard has historically had an edge as home favorites.
Key Factors to Consider
- Boston University has shown moderate form with recent results including wins and losses against comparable teams, while Harvard appears slightly stronger in recent performances with effective scoring, as evidenced in matchups against comparable opposition. Boston University lost to Columbia 54-49 on 18/11/2025 and had a mix of wins and losses in early November. Harvard's recent form is more stable and they have a positive home record.
- Historically, Harvard leads the recent matchups with a 7-3 record over Boston University in the last 10 games from 2007 to 2017. Harvard has a notable home advantage, winning key recent games at home including a 69-56 victory in 2015. Boston University has trailed in recent encounters and holds an 8-game losing streak against Harvard that ended back in 2017.
- No current injury reports available for either team from the latest sources, suggesting both teams are expected to field near full-strength lineups.
- The game is held at Harvard's home venue, giving them a home-court advantage. The match timing and local conditions do not appear to pose any special external concerns.
- Harvard likely carries the motivation to maintain home dominance and build early season confidence. Boston University may seek to break their recent losing streaks against Harvard, adding competitive incentive.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Boston Univ. Terriers: +172, Harvard Crimson: -210 | Harvard Crimson to win | β β β β β 78% |
| Spread | Boston Univ. Terriers +3.5: -102, Harvard Crimson -3.5: -120 | Harvard Crimson to cover -3.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 137.5: -115, Under 137.5: -105 | Under 137.5 points | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Harvard Crimson 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 137.5 17% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 137.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Harvard Crimson is favored to win this matchup based on current odds, historical dominance at home, and recent form, with a moderately high confidence level.
Predicted Score: Harvard Crimson 71 – 65 Boston Univ. Terriers