Match Analysis: Le Moyne Dolphins vs Fairfield Stags – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-22
- Time: 6:00 PM UTC
- Location: Ted Grant Court, Le Moyne College
Game Overview
The Fairfield Stags (3-2) visit the Le Moyne Dolphins (2-3) for a Northeast Conference matchup. Fairfield enters with a recent momentum of wins, including a narrow 85-82 victory over Loyola and a gritty overtime win against Stonehill. Le Moyne has shown moderate home strength but suffered losses on the road against stronger Division I opponents. Both teams have competitive scorers, with Fairfield led by Deuce Turner and Le Moyne by Deng Garang and Trent Mosquera.
Key Factors to Consider
- Fairfield has won its last two games and shows a balanced offense with leading scorer Deuce Turner averaging around 26 points recently. Le Moyne has a weaker overall record (2-3) but strong home performances including a 74-53 win against Niagara. Le Moyneβs primary scorers average around 13 points per game. Fairfieldβs defense has been tested but performed well in close wins.
- Le Moyne leads the all-time series 4-1 dating back to 1948; however, Fairfield has won the recent matchup in December 2023 and is unbeaten against Le Moyne for over 70 years in more recent contests, indicating a psychological edge.
- No significant injury reports are available for either team prior to this game, suggesting both squads should be near full strength.
- The game is played at Le Moyneβs home court, which can offer a home-court advantage. The match is broadcast live on NEC Front Row and could be influenced by travel fatigue on Fairfieldβs side.
- Fairfield seeks to continue its winning streak and prove superiority in this regional rivalry, while Le Moyne aims to leverage home court to reverse recent results and solidify team confidence early in the season.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Fairfield Stags: -134, Le Moyne Dolphins: 112 | Fairfield Stags | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | Fairfield Stags: -1.5 -115, Le Moyne Dolphins: +1.5 -105 | Fairfield Stags -1.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 151.5: -110, Under 151.5: -110 | Under 151.5 | β β β ββ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Fairfield Stags -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 151.5 11% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 151.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Fairfield Stags are favored to win in a competitive and close game due to recent form, key player performances, and psychological momentum from recent victories over Le Moyne and other Division I opponents. Expect a tight contest decided in the final minutes.
Predicted Score: Fairfield Stags 77 – Le Moyne Dolphins 73