Match Analysis: Georgetown Hoyas vs Wagner Seahawks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-22
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: Capital One Arena, Washington, DC
Game Overview
The Georgetown Hoyas host the Wagner Seahawks in a non-conference NCAA Men's Basketball matchup at Capital One Arena. Georgetown enters the game with a strong 4-0 record, having recently defeated Clemson 79-74 at home. Wagner, on the other hand, is struggling at 0-4, with their most recent loss coming in overtime against UMBC. The game is expected to be a showcase of Georgetown's depth and home-court advantage against a Wagner team searching for its first win.
Key Factors to Consider
- Georgetown is off to a 4-0 start, showing balanced scoring and solid defense. Their recent win over Clemson indicates they can handle quality opponents. Wagner has lost all four games, with their closest contest being a one-point overtime loss to UMBC. Their offense has struggled, averaging just 58.5 points per game, while their defense has allowed 70.5 points per game.
- Georgetown and Wagner have not met recently, but Georgetown holds a significant advantage in historical matchups, with a dominant record in previous encounters. The last meeting saw Georgetown win 66-41 in 2024, indicating a clear edge in talent and execution.
- No major injuries have been reported for either team as of the latest updates. Both squads are expected to field their full rosters.
- Georgetown will have the benefit of playing at home in front of a supportive crowd at Capital One Arena. Wagner is on the road, having already played several away games this season, which may impact their energy and focus.
- Georgetown is motivated to maintain their undefeated record and build momentum for the Big East season. Wagner is desperate for a win to boost morale and confidence, but their lack of success so far may affect their mental edge.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Georgetown Hoyas: -8000, Wagner Seahawks: 2200 | Georgetown Hoyas | β β β β β 95% |
| Spread | Georgetown Hoyas: -22.5, Wagner Seahawks: 22.5 | Georgetown Hoyas -22.5 | β β β β β 85% |
| Over/under | Over: 137.5, Under: 137.5 | Under 137.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Georgetown Hoyas 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 137.5 37% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 137.5 at 37% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 38.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Georgetown is heavily favored to win this game, given their superior record, home-court advantage, and historical dominance over Wagner. Wagner's struggles on offense and defense make it unlikely they will keep the game close. The most probable outcome is a decisive Georgetown victory.
Predicted Score: Georgetown Hoyas 75 – Wagner Seahawks 58