Match Analysis: Žalgiris vs Fenerbahce SK – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-03
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: Kaunas Arena
Game Overview
A EuroLeague basketball matchup between Žalgiris, the home team known for disciplined ball control and accurate mid-range shooting, and Fenerbahce SK, a favored visitor leveraging quick transition offense and effective three-point shooting. Both teams demonstrated strong form in opening rounds, making for a competitive and intense clash.
Key Factors to Consider
- Žalgiris impressed with an away win over Monaco, showing strong form. Fenerbahce holds an overall EuroLeague record of 15-9 this season, showing a robust but slightly streaky form. Both teams have demonstrated solid offensive capabilities.
- In 29 meetings, Fenerbahce leads with 19 wins to Žalgiris' 10. Žalgiris averages 75.59 points per game against Fenerbahce’s 79.21. The average total points in their games is about 155. The last game in January 2025 ended 98-86 for Fenerbahce at home.
- No significant injuries reported for either side as of current data.
- Fenerbahce’s coach Šarūnas Jasikevičius faces his former team in Kaunas, adding emotional motivation. Both teams have strong home/away tendencies; Žalgiris is playing at home with supportive crowd advantage.
- Žalgiris motivated to defend home court against a historically superior opponent; Fenerbahce motivated to continue winning away and sustain top EuroLeague form.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Fenerbahce SK: -135, Žalgiris: +114 | Fenerbahce SK | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Spread | Fenerbahce SK -2 (-112), Žalgiris +2 (-108) | Fenerbahce SK -2 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Over/under | Over 160.5 (-112), Under 160.5 (-108) | Over 160.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Fenerbahce SK -3% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 160.5 17% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 160.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Fenerbahce SK to win on the moneyline, cover the -2 spread, with the game total going over 160.5 points
Predicted Score: Fenerbahce SK 84 – Žalgiris 79