Match Analysis: Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-02
- Time: 7:08 PM UTC
- Location: Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
Game Overview
Game 3 of the AL Wildcard series between Cleveland Guardians and Detroit Tigers, tied 1-1 in the series. Both teams are closely matched with the Guardians holding a slight regular season edge and home field advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
- Guardians have an 88-74 overall record with a stronger home record (45-36), Tigers stand at 87-75 with a 41-40 away record. Both teams have competitive recent form in the series with split home-away results.
- Guardians won the regular season series 8-5, including 5 wins at home against Detroit. Recent playoff games are split 1-1, indicating a balanced matchup.
- No significant injuries reported for either team that would drastically affect pitching or key lineup spots for this critical playoff game.
- Home crowd and familiar ballpark conditions favor Cleveland. Weather conditions not noted as a factor. Starting pitchers of this elimination game expected to perform under playoff pressure.
- High motivation for both teams β Tigers to upset on the road to extend the series, Guardians to leverage home advantage to close out and advance.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | CLE -120 / DET -101 | Cleveland Guardians | β β β β β 70% |
Spread | CLE -1.5 -220 / DET +1.5 177 | Detroit Tigers +1.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | Over 7 -106 / Under 7 -115 | Under 7 runs | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Cleveland Guardians 6% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 7 3% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Cleveland Guardians at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline – Cleveland Guardians to win; Spread – Detroit Tigers +1.5; Over/Under – Under 7 runs
Predicted Score: Cleveland Guardians 4 – Detroit Tigers 3