Match Analysis: Los Angeles Rams vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-24
- Time: 1:20 AM UTC
- Location: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA
Game Overview
The Los Angeles Rams (8-2) host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-4) in Week 12 of the 2025 NFL season. The Rams are currently first in the NFC West with a strong home record and are favored to win this matchup at SoFi Stadium. The Buccaneers, leading the NFC South, have had a solid season but face a challenging road game against a top in-conference rival with a high-powered defense and revitalized offense under quarterback Baker Mayfield.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Rams boast an 8-2 record with a dominant defense allowing only 172 points so far, and a well-balanced offense scoring 272 points. The Buccaneers hold a 6-4 record with a more modest 252 points scored but have struggled defensively with 250 points allowed, making the Ramsโ defense a key matchup advantage.
- Recent matchups have favored the Rams, particularly in home games at SoFi Stadium where they have consistently performed well. The last meetings show the Rams with strong defensive hold against the Buccaneersโ offense.
- Current data does not report major injury concerns explicitly for either team, but typical NFL season wear and strategic player rests during bye weeks may affect some depth positions.
- Playing at home with support from a strong fan base at SoFi Stadium benefits the Rams. Weather is typically not a factor in this indoor venue. Motivation is high for both teams as this game has playoff implications within the NFC standings.
- Rams aim to solidify their NFC West dominance and secure home-field advantage in playoffs, marking this game as high priority. Buccaneers look to improve their record and compete strongly in the NFC South with ambitions to reach postseason.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Los Angeles Rams: -325, Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 260 | Los Angeles Rams | โ โ โ โ โ 85% |
| Spread | Los Angeles Rams: -6.5 -115, Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 6.5 -105 | Los Angeles Rams -6.5 | โ โ โ โ โ 70% |
| Over/under | Over: 49.5 -112, Under: 49.5 -108 | Under 49.5 | โ โ โ โโ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Los Angeles Rams -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 49.5 16% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Under 49.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Los Angeles Rams are projected to win, leveraging stronger defense and home advantage, with an expected close to moderate margin given the Buccaneers' offensive potential.
Predicted Score: Los Angeles Rams 27 – Tampa Bay Buccaneers 17