Match Analysis: Ottawa Redblacks vs Saskatchewan Roughriders – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-03
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: TD Place Stadium, Ottawa, ON
Game Overview
The Saskatchewan Roughriders (10-4) visit the Ottawa Redblacks (4-10) with Saskatchewan favored by 3.5 points. The Roughriders are aiming to rebound after a narrow loss while Ottawa struggles with inconsistency offensively and defensively.
Key Factors to Consider
- Saskatchewan holds a strong 10-4 record, demonstrating solid offensive yardage and a positive net yard differential. Ottawa is 4-10 with defensive struggles and inconsistent quarterback play.
- Recent matchups favor Saskatchewan, showcasing better execution and more balanced play on both sides of the ball. Ottawa has struggled historically at home against playoff-contending teams like Saskatchewan.
- No major injuries reported for Saskatchewan impacting key positions. Ottawaβs roster shows minor concerns but nothing severely impacting starting lineup.
- The game is at Ottawaβs home stadium, but Saskatchewanβs experience and form offset any home field edge. Weather is expected to be neutral and not a significant factor.
- Saskatchewan is highly motivated to maintain playoff positioning in the competitive West Division, while Ottawaβs motivation is lower given their weaker playoff odds and current form.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | 162 / -196 | Saskatchewan Roughriders | β β β β β 78% |
Spread | Ottawa +3.5 -105 / Saskatchewan -3.5 -115 | Saskatchewan Roughriders -3.5 | β β β β β 74% |
Over/under | Over 53.5 -110 / Under 53.5 -110 | Under 53.5 | β β β ββ 67% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Saskatchewan Roughriders -6% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 53.5 28% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 53.5 at 28% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Saskatchewan Roughriders to win straight up (moneyline) and cover the -3.5 spread; game likely to finish under 53.5 total points.
Predicted Score: Saskatchewan Roughriders 28 – Ottawa Redblacks 20