Match Analysis: Cremonese vs AS Roma – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-23
- Time: 2:00 PM UTC
- Location: Stadio Giovanni Zini, Cremona, Italy
Game Overview
The Serie A match between Cremonese and AS Roma on November 23, 2025, will be held at Cremonese's home ground, Stadio Giovanni Zini. Cremonese currently sits 11th in the Serie A standings with 14 points, while AS Roma is in 2nd place with 24 points, showcasing a stronger performance overall. Roma is favored to win given recent form and league position.
Key Factors to Consider
- AS Roma has been performing at a high level this season with 8 wins and 3 losses in 11 matches, showing strong offensive and defensive form. Cremonese has had a mixed season, with 3 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, indicating more inconsistency. Roma's offensive capabilities, including key forwards, are superior to Cremonese's.
- Historical matches indicate Roma dominance over Cremonese, including a recent 1-0 league win and a 2-1 Coppa Italia win. Roma has a strong psychological edge and tactical advantage in past encounters.
- No specific injury details were available from current sources, but lineups suggest both teams will have their key starters available, maintaining competitive strength.
- The match being at Cremonese's home could provide some advantage, but Roma's superior skill and form likely outweigh this. Weather, referee, or other environmental factors are not reported as significant.
- Roma, occupying a high league position and pushing for the title or Champions League spots, has strong motivation to secure three points. Cremonese, mid-table, will aim to upset but lacks the momentum.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | AS Roma: -161, Cremonese: 460, Draw: 285 | AS Roma Win | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | AS Roma -0.75: -122, Cremonese +75: 102 | AS Roma -0.75 | β β β β β 80% |
| Over/under | Over 2.25: -118, Under 2.25: -102 | Under 2.25 Goals | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | AS Roma 5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.25 19% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
AS Roma is predicted to win the match convincingly, leveraging better form, quality, and motivation despite playing away. Cremonese may struggle to contain Roma's attack and is likely to score fewer goals.
Predicted Score: Roma 2 – 0 Cremonese