Match Analysis: Saint Louis Billikens vs Fort Wayne Mastodons – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-22
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Chaifetz Arena
Game Overview
The Saint Louis Billikens (4-0) host the Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons (2-4) in a non-conference matchup. Saint Louis has been dominant defensively, allowing only 283 points in four games, while Fort Wayne has struggled on the road, going 0-4 away from home. The Billikens are heavy favorites, with the betting market reflecting a significant gap in perceived strength.
Key Factors to Consider
- Saint Louis is 4-0 with a strong defensive record, averaging 96.8 points per game and allowing just 70.8. Fort Wayne is 2-4, averaging 90.3 points per game but allowing 79.3, with all four losses coming on the road. Saint Louis has covered the spread in 3 of their last 4 games, while Fort Wayne has struggled ATS.
- No recent head-to-head matchups are available for these teams, but Saint Louis has shown consistent dominance over weaker opponents this season.
- No significant injuries have been reported for either team.
- Saint Louis is playing at home, where they are undefeated (4-0). Fort Wayne has not won a road game this season. The venue, Chaifetz Arena, is known for its strong home-court advantage.
- Saint Louis is looking to maintain its undefeated record and build momentum for conference play. Fort Wayne is seeking its first road win and a signature victory to boost morale.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Fort Wayne Mastodons: 1400, Saint Louis Billikens: -3200 | Saint Louis Billikens | β β β β β 95% |
| Spread | Fort Wayne Mastodons: 20.5 -115, Saint Louis Billikens: -20.5 -105 | Saint Louis Billikens -20.5 | β β β β β 85% |
| Over/under | Over: 166.5 -105, Under: 166.5 -115 | Under 166.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Saint Louis Billikens 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 166.5 12% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 166.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Saint Louis is expected to win comfortably, covering the spread and likely keeping the game under the total. The Billikens' defense should limit Fort Wayne's scoring, and their offensive efficiency should be enough to win by more than 20 points.
Predicted Score: Saint Louis Billikens 82, Fort Wayne Mastodons 68